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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
04.08.2026 11:15 UTC

Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Zelinskaya D take on Arifullina A on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zelinskaya D — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zelinskaya D): model 63% · market 74% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zelinskaya D ✓ Pick73.2%
market74%
2 · Arifullina A26.8%
market26%

Model estimate: win Zelinskaya D 73.2%, win Arifullina A 26.8%. Model favourite — Zelinskaya D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zelinskaya D (odds1.21) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Zelinskaya D
  • • (World) — Arifullina A
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Zelinskaya D
  • • (World): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Arifullina A
  • • (World): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Zelinskaya D
  • • (World): probability 50% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-32 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arifullina A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 4 books · best price +117.7%
1 ✓ Pick 74.4%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Zelinskaya D · sets 0:1 · games 1-6 0-0 · game A:40

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

34% 66%
Zelinskaya D (1) Arifullina A (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 04.08.2026 11:15 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 11:15 UTC Not started
Z
Zelinskaya D
A
Arifullina A
-:-
Odds
P1 1.24 74.6% BetBoom
P2 3.64 25.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:15 UTC
Market 1 34.1% @ 2.70 / 2 65.9% @ 1.40
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zelinskaya D 74.4% 73.2% market and model agree
Arifullina A 25.6% 26.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.2% / 26.8% probabilities
Rating 1,712 / 1,322 Zelinskaya D / Arifullina A
RD 150 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,413-2,011 / 738-1,905 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 26.8%
1 2.70 Fonbet · weak value +97.6% · model 73.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.77 56.5%
1.98 50.5% —
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.90 52.6%
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 17.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 21.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Over 22.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 23.5 — 1.93 51.8% —
Under 17.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 19.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 20.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 21.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Under 22.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 23.5 — 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 2.70 37.0% 1.21 82.6%
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 1.40 71.4% 3.64 27.5%
Match center
Zelinskaya D
L W W W W
01.08 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 0:2 Milovanova V. (World)
31.07 06:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Kazakhstan
Zelinskaya D 2:1 Arystanbekova A
31.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 2:1 Arystanbekova A. 🇰🇿
30.07 05:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Kazakhstan
Zelinskaya D 2:0 Kenzhibaeva S
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 2:0 Kenzhibaeva S. 🇰🇿
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Arifullina A
L
12.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Arifullina A 0:2 Chzhan In 🇨🇳
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage