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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
06.08.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 06.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
Z
Zelinskaya D
A
Arifullina A
0:2 1:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Zelinskaya D 1 3 0
Arifullina A 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Zelinskaya D Arifullina A
Win % 56% 48.4%
Hard % 56.7% 51%
Clay % 44.4% 34.8%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 59.5% 53.3%
Tie-breaks % 53.6% 57.9%
Titles (total) 0 1
Last 10 LWWWLLLWWL LWWWWWLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.24 74.6% BetBoom
P2 3.64 25.4% BetBoom

Zelinskaya D meet Arifullina A on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 4 (Kazakhstan), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zelinskaya D — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zelinskaya D): model 63% · market 74% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zelinskaya D ✓ Pick73.2%
market74%
2 · Arifullina A26.8%
market26%

Model estimate: win Zelinskaya D 73.2%, win Arifullina A 26.8%. Model favourite — Zelinskaya D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zelinskaya D (odds1.21) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Zelinskaya D
  • • (World) — Arifullina A
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Zelinskaya D
  • • (World): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Arifullina A
  • • (World): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Zelinskaya D
  • • (World): probability 50% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-32 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arifullina A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arifullina A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.16
  • Glicko: Zelinskaya D 73.2% / Arifullina A 26.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.7% 4 books · best price +254.8%
1 ✓ Pick 74.4%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.23 ↑ 2.70
Winner 2 3.60 ↓ 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Zelinskaya D
75%
4.40
Arifullina A
25%
3.64
Total
Over 19.5
50%
1.85
Under 19.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 06:30 UTC
Market 1 20.9% @ 4.40 / 2 79.1% @ 1.16
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Zelinskaya D 73%
💹 Market Zelinskaya D 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Zelinskaya D - Arifullina A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Zelinskaya D Arifullina A Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 73.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.071 / LogLoss 1.317
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.557 / LogLoss 0.750
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zelinskaya D 74.4% 73.2% market and model agree
Arifullina A 25.6% 26.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.2% / 26.8% probabilities
Rating 1,712 / 1,322 Zelinskaya D / Arifullina A
RD 150 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,413-2,012 / 738-1,906 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.16 Fonbet · no value · model 26.8%
1 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +222.1% · model 73.2%
Total
Over 15.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 2.70 37.0%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 1.70 58.8%
1.98 50.5% —
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.78 56.2%
1.73 57.8% 1.92 52.1%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.70 58.8%
— 2.02 49.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.20 31.3%
1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Over 16.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Over 17.5 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Over 24.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Under 15.5 — 2.08 48.1%
Under 16.5 — 1.72 58.1%
Under 17.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Under 19.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Under 20.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Under 22.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 23.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Under 24.5 — 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 2.5 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Zelinskaya D
L W W W W
01.08 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 0:2 Milovanova V. (World)
31.07 06:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Kazakhstan
Zelinskaya D 2:1 Arystanbekova A
31.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 2:1 Arystanbekova A. 🇰🇿
30.07 05:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Kazakhstan
Zelinskaya D 2:0 Kenzhibaeva S
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 3 (Kazakhstan), hard
Zelinskaya D 2:0 Kenzhibaeva S. 🇰🇿
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Arifullina A
L
12.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Arifullina A 0:2 Chzhan In 🇨🇳
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage