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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 3 (Mexico), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 3 (Mexico), hard
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Alonso C. (Mek) - Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Alonso C. (Mek) — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alonso C. (Mek)): model 52% · market 81% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alonso C. (Mek) ✓ Pick77.9%
market81%
2 · Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)22.1%
market19%

Model estimate: win Alonso C. (Mek) 77.9%, win Marron Baruqui M. (Mek) 22.1%. Model favourite — Alonso C. (Mek).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alonso C. (Mek) (odds1.21) Score 2:0 confidence 73%
  • • Alonso C
  • • (Mek) — Marron Baruqui M
  • • (Mek) (tennis)
  • • Marron Baruqui M
  • • (Mek): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Alonso C
  • • (Mek): probability 73% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alonso C. (Mek) - Marron Baruqui M. (Mek) July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Alonso C. (Mek). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 ✓ Pick 80.7%
2 19.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 3 (Mexico), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 3 (Mexico), hard hard 29.07.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
A
Alonso C. (Mek)
M
Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)
-:-
Odds
P1 1.17 80.7% BetBoom
P2 4.90 19.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 1 matches
Match center

Alonso C. (Mek) - Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alonso C. (Mek) 80.7% 77.9% market and model agree
Marron Baruqui M. (Mek) 19.3% 22.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.9% / 22.1% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Alonso C. (Mek) / Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.71 market consensus · no value · model 22.1%
1 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 77.9%
Total
Over 18.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 18.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.94 51.6% 2.01 49.8%
1.77 56.5% 1.66 60.2%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 18.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 18.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5%
4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.72 21.2%
Match center
Alonso C. (Mek)
L
23.07 16:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 2 (Mexico), hard
Alonso C. (Mek) 0:2 Malkin M. 🇺🇸
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Marron Baruqui M. (Mek)
L
23.07 16:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Huamantla 2 (Mexico), hard
Marron Baruqui M. (Mek) 0:2 Malkin M. 🇺🇸
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage