Paganetti V - El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Paganetti V โ 60%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Paganetti V): model 54% ยท market 62% ฮ โ8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Paganetti V 59.7%, win El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ 40.3%. Model favourite โ Paganetti V.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Paganetti V
- • ๐ฎ๐น โ El Aouni A
- • ๐ฒ๐ฆ (tennis)
- • Paganetti V
- • ๐ฎ๐น: forma VPP (1-2)
- • El Aouni A
- • ๐ฒ๐ฆ: forma VPV (2-1)
- • Model backs Paganetti V
- • ๐ฎ๐น: probability 65% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paganetti V - El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ July 31, 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paganetti V.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / 2 2.47
- Glicko: Paganetti V 59.7% / El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ 40.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Paganetti V - El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.78 56.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.81 55.3% |
| Under 20.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.51 66.2% | |
| 2.47 40.5% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.29 43.7% |
Full head-to-head historyPaganetti V - El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ
Match history
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The Paganetti V - El Aouni A. ๐ฒ๐ฆ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form