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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
01.08.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction

Paganetti V - Munk Mortensen R

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay clay 01.08.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 07:30 UTC Finished
P
Paganetti V
W W
Munk Mortensen R
Munk Mortensen R
W W
0:2
Odds
P1 1.40 67.4% BetBoom
P2 2.90 32.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Paganetti V face Munk Mortensen R on August 1, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paganetti V 2-0-0, Munk Mortensen R 2-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Paganetti V — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Paganetti V): model 46% · market 67% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Paganetti V ✓ Pick64.1%
market67%
2 · Munk Mortensen R35.9%
market33%

Model estimate: win Paganetti V 64.1%, win Munk Mortensen R 35.9%. Model favourite — Paganetti V.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Paganetti V (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Paganetti V
  • • 🇮🇹 — Munk Mortensen R
  • • 🇩🇰 (tennis)
  • • Paganetti V
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VVPP (2)
  • • Munk Mortensen R
  • • 🇩🇰: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Paganetti V
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 57% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paganetti V - Munk Mortensen R August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paganetti V.

Line favourite market consensus: Paganetti V. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90
  • Glicko: Paganetti V 64.1% / Munk Mortensen R 35.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 ✓ Pick 67.4%
2 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 67.4% @ 1.40 / 2 32.6% @ 2.90
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Paganetti V - Munk Mortensen R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 64.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.821 / LogLoss 1.024
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.534 / LogLoss 0.728
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Paganetti V 66.1% 64.1% market and model agree
Munk Mortensen R 33.9% 35.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.1% / 35.9% probabilities
Rating 1,697 / 1,876 Paganetti V / Munk Mortensen R
RD 206 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,285-2,109 / 1,576-2,176 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 35.9%
1 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 64.1%
Total
Over 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
Under 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
2.73 36.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Paganetti V
W W
31.07 07:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Paganetti V 2:0 El Aouni A. 🇲🇦
30.07 05:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Paganetti V 2:0 Ivanovic G. 🇷🇸
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Munk Mortensen R
W W
31.07 07:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Munk Mortensen R 2:0 Lekomtseva U. (World)
30.07 06:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Munk Mortensen R 2:0 Aleks 🇮🇹
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage