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ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 (Serbia), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 (Serbia), clay
05.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Paoletti M - Masiianskaia M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 (Serbia), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 (Serbia), clay clay 05.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
Paoletti M
Paoletti M
M
Masiianskaia M
0:2
Odds
P1 1.01 90.0% BetBoom
P2 9.10 10.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Paoletti M face Masiianskaia M on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 (Serbia), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Paoletti M — 59%

1 · Paoletti M ✓ Pick58.7%
market90%
2 · Masiianskaia M41.3%
market10%

Model estimate: win Paoletti M 58.7%, win Masiianskaia M 41.3%. Model favourite — Paoletti M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paoletti M - Masiianskaia M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paoletti M.

Line favourite market consensus: Paoletti M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.01 / 2 9.10
  • Glicko: Paoletti M 58.7% / Masiianskaia M 41.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 ✓ Pick 90.0%
2 10.0%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 90.0% @ 1.01 / 2 10.0% @ 9.10
Coverage clay
Form 2 matches
Match center

Paoletti M - Masiianskaia M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 58.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.690 / LogLoss 0.885
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.521 / LogLoss 0.714
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Paoletti M 90.0% 58.7% market and model agree
Masiianskaia M 10.0% 41.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.7% / 41.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,293 Paoletti M / Masiianskaia M
RD 350 / 270 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 753-1,833 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.10 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
1 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
Total
Over 17.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.04 49.0%
1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 17.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 17.5 1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.01 99.0%
9.10 11.0%
Match center
Paoletti M
L L
31.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Paoletti M 0:2 Girlings-Martines A. 🇪🇸
22.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 (Serbia), clay
Paoletti M 0:2 Zozaya Menendez E. 🇪🇸
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Masiianskaia M
L L
31.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 (Serbia), clay
Masiianskaia M 0:2 Girlings-Martines A. 🇪🇸
22.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 (Serbia), clay
Masiianskaia M 0:2 Zozaya Menendez E. 🇪🇸
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage