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ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS 🇺🇸, hard

04.08.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS 🇺🇸, hard

ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS 🇺🇸, hard hard 04.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished

04.08.2026 18:45 UTC Finished

Penickova K. 🇺🇸

Vergara Rivera A

2:0

Odds

P1 1.20 79.0% BetBoom

P2 4.50 21.1% BetBoom

Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 face Vergara Rivera A on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W35 Southaven, MS 🇺🇸, hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 75% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Penickova K. 🇺🇸 — 75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Penickova K. 🇺🇸): model 44% · market 78% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Penickova K. 🇺🇸 ✓ Pick74.7%

market78%

2 · Vergara Rivera A25.3%

market22%

Model estimate: win Penickova K. 🇺🇸 74.7%, win Vergara Rivera A 25.3%. Model favourite — Penickova K. 🇺🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Penickova K. 🇺🇸.

Line favourite market consensus: Penickova K. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / 2 4.50
Glicko: Penickova K. 🇺🇸 74.7% / Vergara Rivera A 25.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 2 books · best price +1.3%

1 ✓ Pick 78.1%

2 21.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 04.08.2026 18:45 UTC

Market 1 78.9% @ 1.20 / 2 21.1% @ 4.50

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

Match center

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 74.7% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.291

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.0% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.442 / LogLoss 0.636

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 78.1% 74.7% market and model agree

Vergara Rivera A 21.9% 25.3%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 74.7% / 25.3% probabilities

Rating 1,302 / 1,557 Penickova K. 🇺🇸 / Vergara Rivera A

RD 181 / 174 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 939-1,665 / 1,210-1,905 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.25 market consensus · no value · model 25.3%

1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 74.7%

Total

Over 19.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 19.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity
	1.97 50.8%
	1.74 57.5%

Total

Outcome	Betcity
Over 19.5	1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5	1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%
	4.00 25.0%	4.50 22.2%

Match center

Penickova K. 🇺🇸

L L L W L

30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Florence, SC 🇺🇸, hard

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 0:2 Chan Dzh. 🇺🇸

22.07 21:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Santa Fe 🇺🇸, hard

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 0:2 Kulikova A. 🇫🇮

15.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 1:2 Faley A. (World)

13.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 2:1 Tkhandi K. K. 🇮🇳

08.06 15:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Lakewood, CA 2 🇺🇸, hard

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 1:2 Crossley M. 🇯🇵

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Vergara Rivera A

L L W L L

30.07 14:20 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA

Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Krossli M

30.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Florence, SC 🇺🇸, hard

Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Crossley M. 🇯🇵

28.07 15:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA

Vergara Rivera A 2:0 Vidzhayakumar T

23.07 18:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. USA

Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Makhendran K

23.07 16:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Santa Fe 🇺🇸, hard

Vergara Rivera A 0:2 Makhendran K

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.4 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A

Penickova K. 🇺🇸

0 matches total

Vergara Rivera A

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A

About the athletes

AI match prediction Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A August 4, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Penickova K. 🇺🇸 - Vergara Rivera A

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history