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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Leipzig (Germany), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Leipzig (Germany), clay
05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Pastikova J - Back Dayeon

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Leipzig (Germany), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Leipzig (Germany), clay clay 05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
P
Pastikova J
B
Back Dayeon
2:0
Odds
P1 2.03 45.9% BetBoom
P2 1.72 54.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Pastikova J meet Back Dayeon on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Leipzig (Germany), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 46% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Back Dayeon — 54%

Pure model vs market (2 · Back Dayeon): model 53% · market 54% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Pastikova J46.2%
2 · Back Dayeon53.8%

Model estimate: win Pastikova J 46.2%, win Back Dayeon 53.8%. Model favourite — Back Dayeon.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Back Dayeon (odds1.71) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Pastikova J
  • • 🇨🇿 — Bak D
  • • 🇰🇷 (tennis)
  • • Pastikova J
  • • 🇨🇿: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Bak D
  • • 🇰🇷: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Bak D
  • • 🇰🇷: probability 53% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pastikova J - Back Dayeon August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Back Dayeon.

Line favourite market consensus: Back Dayeon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / 2 1.72
  • Glicko: Pastikova J 46.2% / Back Dayeon 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 46.2%
2 53.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 45.9% @ 2.03 / 2 54.1% @ 1.72
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pastikova J - Back Dayeon

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.578 / LogLoss 0.772
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.509 / LogLoss 0.702
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pastikova J 46.2% 46.2%
Back Dayeon 53.8% 53.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.2% / 53.8% probabilities
Rating 1,592 / 1,748 Pastikova J / Back Dayeon
RD 171 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,249-1,935 / 1,444-2,051 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 53.8%
1 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 46.2%
Total
Over 20.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5%
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Pastikova J
L W W L W
24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Amstetten (Austria), clay
Pastikova J 0:2 Kostovic T. 🇷🇸Kostovic T. 🇷🇸
22.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Amstetten (Austria), clay
Pastikova J 2:0 Tsidat F. 🇩🇪
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Amstetten (Austria), clay
Pastikova J 2:1 Fridzam A-L. 🇩🇪
16.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Olomouc (Czechia), clay
Pastikova J 0:2 Struplova Dzh. 🇨🇿
14.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Olomouc (Czechia), clay
Pastikova J 2:0 Ceuca A. A. 🇩🇪
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Back Dayeon
L L W W W
29.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Hechingen (Germany), clay
Back Dayeon 0:2 Yao S. 🇨🇳
26.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Back Dayeon 0:2 Nilsson L. 🇸🇪
25.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Back Dayeon 2:0 Glushkova D. 🇧🇴
24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Back Dayeon 2:0 Ebeling Koning L. 🇳🇱
23.07 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Back Dayeon 2:0 Hageman M. 🇳🇱
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPastikova J - Back Dayeon

Pastikova J
0 matches total
Back Dayeon
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history