TennisITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hardhard05.08.2026 14:00 UTCFinished
05.08.2026 14:00 UTCFinished
G
Gallardo Guevara C
WWWWWLLW
C
Cortez Llorca L
WWLLLWWL
2:0
Odds
P11.68
56.9% BetBoom
P22.22
43.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
#433Rating#564
26Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Gallardo Guevara C
Cortez Llorca L
Aces per match
1.50
2.00
Double faults per match
8.75
8
Breaks per match
6
15
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Rank:433Elo: 146
WWWWWLLW
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Rank:564Elo: 91
WWLLLWWL
Elo favourite:Cortez Llorca L(edge +55 Elo)
Hard
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
62.5% 10 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
0.0% 0 / 5 Matches
60.0% 18 / 30 Matches
Aces Per Match
N/A
N/A
Most Aces in a match
N/A
N/A
Clay
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
57.9% 11 / 19 Matches
79.0% 15 / 19 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
58.7% 27 / 46 Matches
79.0% 15 / 19 Matches
Aces Per Match
1.50
2.00
Most Aces in a match
75 %
0 %
Grass
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match
N/A
N/A
Most Aces in a match
N/A
N/A
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
H2H wins
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Sets
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Wins this year
52.2% 12 / 23 Matches
71.4% 25 / 35 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
52.8% 28 / 53 Matches
66.0% 33 / 50 Matches
Current rank
433
564
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Prize money (career)
$93,310 USD
$2,194 USD
Rating
433
564
Age
26
—
Win percentage (match / set)
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match Wins
52 %
71 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
52 %
71 %
Wins in Straight Sets
39 %
37 %
Wins From Behind
8 %
50 %
Won At Least 1 Set
74 %
83 %
Set 1 Win
57 %
49 %
Set 2 Win
57 %
71 %
Set 3 Win
38 %
75 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Gallardo Guevara C meet Cortez Llorca L on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 56% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Gallardo Guevara C — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gallardo Guevara C): model 42% · market 57%Δ −15 ppmodel estimates below the market
56%1
1 · Gallardo Guevara C55.5%
2 · Cortez Llorca L44.5%
Model estimate: win Gallardo Guevara C 55.5%, win Cortez Llorca L 44.5%. Model favourite — Gallardo Guevara C.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Cortez Llorca L (odds2.37)Score 1:2confidence 58%✗ outcome missed
•Gallardo Guevara C
•🇪🇸 — Lorka L
•🇪🇸 (tennis)
•Gallardo Guevara C
•🇪🇸: forma PVVVV (4-1)
•Lorka L
•🇪🇸: forma VVVVV (5-0)
•Model backs Lorka L
•🇪🇸: probability 58% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
•edge over the line +16 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gallardo Guevara C - Cortez Llorca L August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gallardo Guevara C.
Line favourite market consensus: Gallardo Guevara C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / 2 2.22
Glicko: Gallardo Guevara C 55.5% / Cortez Llorca L 44.5%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
3 books · best price +3.7%
157.0%
243.0%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Match center
Start05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market1 56.9% @ 1.68 / 2 43.1% @ 2.22
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
Gallardo Guevara C - Cortez Llorca L
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:0
Events0
Statistics0
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Gallardo Guevara C57.0%53.6%market and model agree
Cortez Llorca L43.0%46.4%market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko55.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.32).
Tennis math model
P1 / P255.5% / 44.5%
probabilities
Rating1,699 / 2,052
Gallardo Guevara C / Cortez Llorca L
RD139 / 171
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,421-1,977 / 1,710-2,395
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.12
market consensus · no value · model 44.5%
11.63
market consensus · no value · model 55.5%
Total
Over 20.51.77
market consensus · line only
Over 21.51.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
—
—
1.8454.4%
1.8554.1%
1.8454.4%
1.8554.1%
—
—
1.8055.6%
1.8554.1%
1.8653.8%
1.7955.9%
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 20.5
—
1.7856.2%
1.7557.1%
Over 21.5
1.9451.6%
—
1.9052.6%
Under 20.5
—
1.9252.1%
1.9052.6%
Under 21.5
1.7756.5%
—
1.7557.1%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.6261.7%
1.5962.9%
1.6859.5%
2.1546.5%
2.2245.1%
1.9850.5%
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match total
Average Games in a Set
9.09
9.34
9.22
Over 6.5
90 %
97 %
94 %
Over 7.5
76 %
89 %
83 %
Over 8.5
57 %
71 %
64 %
Over 9.5
33 %
37 %
35 %
Over 10.5
29 %
17 %
23 %
Over 11.5
29 %
17 %
23 %
Aces
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match total
Aces Per Match
1.50
2.00
3.50
Most Aces in a match
75 %
0 %
N/A
1+
75 %
100 %
88 %
2+
75 %
100 %
88 %
3+
0 %
0 %
75 %
4+
0 %
0 %
50 %
5+
0 %
0 %
50 %
Breaks
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match total
Breaks Per Match
6
15
21
Over 0.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 2.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 3.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 4.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 5.5
75 %
100 %
100 %
Tie-breaks
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.19
0.2
0.2
Over 0.5
14 %
17 %
16 %
Over 1.5
5 %
3 %
4 %
Under 0.5
86 %
83 %
16 %
Under 1.5
95 %
97 %
4 %
Double faults
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
8.75
8
16.75
Over 0.5 (1+)
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
75 %
100 %
100 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Match center
Gallardo Guevara C
LWWWW
30.07 06:30 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C0:2Kurmi F. 🇲🇹
28.07 08:00 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C2:1Zhorge M. 🇵🇹
26.07 07:30 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C2:1Novak K. 🇸🇮
25.07 07:30 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C2:0Lam S. 🇺🇸
24.07 08:15 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C2:0El Aouni A. 🇲🇦
4Wins
1Losses
1.6Sets won
0.8Sets lost
80%Win percentage
Cortez Llorca L
WWWWW
26.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W35 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Cortez Llorca L2:1Bajraliu L. 🇸🇪
25.07 07:00 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W35 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Cortez Llorca L2:1Svendsen Y. 🇩🇰
24.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W35 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Cortez Llorca L2:0Munk Mortensen R. 🇩🇰
23.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W35 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
Cortez Llorca L2:0Lazarenko M. 🇺🇦
22.07 07:30 UTC+0ITF Women - Singles: W35 Gentofte (Denmark), clay
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
