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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Jorge F - Pavlova K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
J
Jorge F
Rank #233 Elo 330
48Struggling Form
W L L W W W L W
Pavlova K
Pavlova K
Rank #364 Elo 181
57Average Form
W W W L L W L W
0:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Jorge F Pavlova K
Win % 57.7% 56.2%
Hard % 59.8% 56.1%
Clay % 53.8% 58.3%
Grass % 33.3% 0%
Deciding set % 45.7% 49.2%
Tie-breaks % 56.4% 81.8%
Titles (total) 4 2
Last 10 WLLWWWLLWL WLWWWLWLLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#233 Rating #364
26 Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Jorge F Pavlova K
Aces per match 1.44 N/A
Double faults per match 3.22 N/A
Breaks per match 11 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Francisca Jorge
Rank:233 Elo: 330
W L L W W W L W
Kira Pavlova
Rank:364 Elo: 181
W W W L L W L W
Elo favourite:Jorge F (edge +149 Elo)

Hard

Francisca JorgeKira Pavlova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 54.2% 13 / 24 Matches 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.7% 29 / 47 Matches 61.1% 22 / 36 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 N/A
Most Aces in a match 0 % N/A

Clay

Francisca JorgeKira Pavlova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.67 N/A
Most Aces in a match 33 % N/A

Grass

Francisca JorgeKira Pavlova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.50 N/A
Most Aces in a match 0 % N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 48.5% 16 / 33 Matches 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 55.9% 33 / 59 Matches 60.0% 24 / 40 Matches
Current rank 233 364

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova
Prize money (career) $266,764 USD $38,955 USD
Rating 233 364
Age 26 —

Win percentage (match / set)

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova
Match Wins 48 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 57 %
Wins in Straight Sets 42 % 43 %
Wins From Behind 6 % 20 %
Won At Least 1 Set 67 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 58 % 54 %
Set 2 Win 52 % 56 %
Set 3 Win 29 % 57 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
  Zhorzhe F. 🇵🇹 1 2
  Pavlova K. (World) 0 0

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.73 8.89 8.81
Over 6.5 93 % 100 % 97 %
Over 7.5 73 % 79 % 76 %
Over 8.5 50 % 61 % 56 %
Over 9.5 33 % 29 % 31 %
Over 10.5 10 % 7 % 9 %
Over 11.5 10 % 7 % 9 %

Aces

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Aces Per Match 1.44 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 11 % N/A N/A
1+ 78 % N/A N/A
2+ 56 % N/A N/A
3+ 11 % N/A N/A
4+ 0 % N/A N/A
5+ 0 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Breaks Per Match 11 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 100 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.11 0.15
Over 0.5 20 % 11 % 15 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 89 % 15 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.22 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 56 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 33 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 22 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 11 % N/A N/A

Net points

Francisca Jorge Kira Pavlova Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.8 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 80 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 80 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 40 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 40 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 40 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.36 66.9% BetBoom
P2 2.75 33.1% BetBoom

Jorge F meet Pavlova K on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Jorge F 1-0-0, Pavlova K 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Jorge F — 57%

1 · Jorge F ✓ Pick56.8%
2 · Pavlova K43.2%

Model estimate: win Jorge F 56.8%, win Pavlova K 43.2%. Model favourite — Jorge F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jorge F (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Zhorzhe F
  • • 🇵🇹 — Pavlova K
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Zhorzhe F
  • • 🇵🇹: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Pavlova K
  • • (World): forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Zhorzhe F
  • • 🇵🇹: probability 57% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jorge F - Pavlova K August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jorge F.

Line favourite market consensus: Jorge F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 2.75
  • Glicko: Jorge F 56.8% / Pavlova K 43.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 ✓ Pick 66.9%
2 33.1%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 66.9% @ 1.36 / 2 33.1% @ 2.75
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Jorge F 57%
💹 Market Jorge F 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Jorge F - Pavlova K

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 56.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.645 / LogLoss 0.839
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.516 / LogLoss 0.710
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jorge F 66.9% 54.9% model more cautious than market
Pavlova K 33.1% 45.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko56.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.35).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.8% / 43.2% probabilities
Rating 1,706 / 1,589 Jorge F / Pavlova K
RD 181 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,343-2,068 / 1,285-1,893 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 43.2%
1 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 56.8%
Total
Over 20.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 20.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.36 73.5%
2.75 36.4%
Match center
Jorge F
W
05.08 08:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Jorge F 2:0 Li Ch. 🇨🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Pavlova K
W
04.08 08:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Pavlova K 2:0 Alvarez Sande E. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJorge F - Pavlova K

Jorge F
1 matches total
Pavlova K
Jorge F: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Pavlova K: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Zhorzhe F. 🇵🇹 2:0 (09.07 08:30 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 09.07 08:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
Zhorzhe F. 🇵🇹
2:0
Pavlova K. (World)