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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
06.08.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Minnen G - Gallardo Guevara C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 06.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Minnen G
Minnen G
Rank #187 Elo 430
56Average Form
W L L W W W L W
G
Gallardo Guevara C
Rank #564 Elo 91
72Good Form
W W W L W L W W
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#187 Rating #564
28 Age -
1.80m Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Minnen G Gallardo Guevara C
Aces per match 2.41 2.00
Double faults per match 3.04 8
Breaks per match 5 15

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Greet Minnen
Rank:187 Elo: 430
W L L W W W L W
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Rank:564 Elo: 91
W W W L W L W W
Elo favourite:Minnen G (edge +339 Elo)

Hard

Greet MinnenCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches 64.7% 11 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.6% 18 / 33 Matches 61.3% 19 / 31 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.50 N/A
Most Aces in a match 38 % N/A

Clay

Greet MinnenCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 79.0% 15 / 19 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches 79.0% 15 / 19 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.50 2.00
Most Aces in a match 33 % 0 %

Grass

Greet MinnenCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 69.2% 9 / 13 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 69.2% 9 / 13 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.77 N/A
Most Aces in a match 54 % N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 56.4% 22 / 39 Matches 72.2% 26 / 36 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 57.7% 30 / 52 Matches 66.7% 34 / 51 Matches
Current rank 187 564

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Prize money (career) $2,768,123 USD $2,194 USD
Rating 187 564
Age 28 —
Height 1.80m —

Win percentage (match / set)

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Match Wins 56 % 72 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 56 % 72 %
Wins in Straight Sets 46 % 39 %
Wins From Behind 0 % 50 %
Won At Least 1 Set 69 % 83 %
Set 1 Win 64 % 50 %
Set 2 Win 51 % 72 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 75 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.05 9.31 9.18
Over 6.5 90 % 97 % 94 %
Over 7.5 69 % 89 % 79 %
Over 8.5 59 % 69 % 64 %
Over 9.5 33 % 36 % 35 %
Over 10.5 21 % 17 % 19 %
Over 11.5 21 % 17 % 19 %

Aces

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Aces Per Match 2.41 2.00 4.41
Most Aces in a match 44 % 0 % N/A
1+ 78 % 100 % 95 %
2+ 70 % 100 % 91 %
3+ 41 % 0 % 87 %
4+ 30 % 0 % 80 %
5+ 11 % 0 % 74 %

Breaks

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Breaks Per Match 5 15 20
Over 0.5 67 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 67 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 67 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 67 % 100 % 100 %
Over 4.5 67 % 100 % 84 %
Over 5.5 67 % 100 % 84 %

Tie-breaks

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.21 0.19 0.2
Over 0.5 18 % 17 % 17 %
Over 1.5 3 % 3 % 3 %
Under 0.5 82 % 83 % 17 %
Under 1.5 97 % 97 % 3 %

Double faults

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.04 8 11.04
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 70 % 100 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 56 % 100 % 93 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 37 % 100 % 87 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 22 % 100 % 80 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 11 % 100 % 80 %

Net points

Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.12 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 88 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 88 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 88 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 88 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.02 90.7% BetBoom
P2 9.90 9.3% BetBoom

Minnen G face Gallardo Guevara C on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Minnen G 1-0-0, Gallardo Guevara C 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 86% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Minnen G — 86%

Pure model vs market (1 · Minnen G): model 47% · market 91% Δ −44 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Minnen G ✓ Pick86.3%
market91%
2 · Gallardo Guevara C13.7%
market9%

Model estimate: win Minnen G 86.3%, win Gallardo Guevara C 13.7%. Model favourite — Minnen G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnen G - Gallardo Guevara C August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Minnen G.

Line favourite market consensus: Minnen G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.02 / 2 9.90
  • Glicko: Minnen G 86.3% / Gallardo Guevara C 13.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Minnen G
90%
1.02
Gallardo Guevara C
10%
9.90
Total
Over 17.5
46%
2.03
Under 17.5
54%
1.71

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Minnen G
7-3LWWLWWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Gallardo Guevara C

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 9.90
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Minnen G 86%
💹 Market Minnen G 91%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Minnen G - Gallardo Guevara C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 86.3% fact: home hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.037 / LogLoss 0.147
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 2.0% / Brier 0.417 / LogLoss 0.610
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minnen G 90.7% 77.6% model more cautious than market
Gallardo Guevara C 9.3% 22.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko86.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.26).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 86.3% / 13.7% probabilities
Rating 1,670 / 1,803 Minnen G / Gallardo Guevara C
RD 143 / 135 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,383-1,956 / 1,532-2,074 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.37 market consensus · no value · model 13.7%
1 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 86.3%
Total
Over 17.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3%
1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 17.5 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.99 50.3%
Under 17.5 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%
9.90 10.1% 9.90 10.1% 8.30 12.1%
Match center
Minnen G
W
05.08 11:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Minnen G 2:0 Yamalapalli 🇮🇳Yamalapalli 🇮🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Gallardo Guevara C
W
05.08 14:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Gallardo Guevara C 2:0 Lorka L. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage