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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Pavlova K - Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Pavlova K take on Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pavlova K β€” 79%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Pavlova K): model 53% Β· market 82% Ξ” βˆ’29 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Pavlova K ✓ Pick79.2%
market82%
2 Β· Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ20.8%
market18%

Model estimate: win Pavlova K 79.2%, win Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 20.8%. Model favourite β€” Pavlova K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pavlova K - Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Pavlova K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.8% 2 books
1 ✓ Pick 82.1%
2 18.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Pavlova K
Pavlova K
A
Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
-:-
Odds
P1 1.13 83.2% BetBoom
P2 5.60 16.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 83.2% @ 1.13 / 2 16.8% @ 5.60
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Pavlova K - Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pavlova K 82.1% 79.2% market and model agree
Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 18.0% 20.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 79.2% / 20.8% probabilities
Rating 1,521 / 1,491 Pavlova K / Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
RD 155 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,211-1,830 / 983-1,998 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.16 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 20.8%
1 1.12 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 79.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.74 market consensus Β· line only
Under 18.5 1.94 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8%
1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 18.5 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1%
Under 18.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5%
5.60 17.9% 4.71 21.2%
Match center
Pavlova K
L W W W L
18.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Pavlova K 1:2 Kubka M. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
17.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Pavlova K 2:0 Kuzmova K. πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
16.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Pavlova K 2:1 Kardava Z. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ
15.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz (Spain), hard
Pavlova K 2:0 Gallardo Guevara C. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
Pavlova K 0:2 Zhorzhe F. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
L W
02.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Getxo (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 0:2 Torner Sensano N. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
27.05 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Lakewood, CA πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Alvarez Sande E. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Suh S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage