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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

Saigo R - Cervino Ruiz C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 09:30 UTC Finished
S
Saigo R
Rank #327 Elo 210
49Struggling Form
W W W W W W L L
C
Cervino Ruiz C
Rank #736 Elo 54
47Struggling Form
W W W W L W L W
2:1 6:7 6:2 7:6
1 2 3 GP
Saigo R 6 6 7 2
Cervino Ruiz C 7 2 6 1
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#327 Rating #736
25 Age 28
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Saigo R Cervino Ruiz C
Aces per match 0.57 N/A
Double faults per match 1.14 N/A
Breaks per match 3.21 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Rina Saigo
Rank:327 Elo: 210
W W W W W W L L
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Rank:736 Elo: 54
W W W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Saigo R (edge +156 Elo)

Hard

Rina SaigoCelia Cervino Ruiz
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 20 / 40 Matches 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 53.9% 35 / 65 Matches 40.0% 6 / 15 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.57 N/A
Most Aces in a match 14 % N/A

Clay

Rina SaigoCelia Cervino Ruiz
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Grass

Rina SaigoCelia Cervino Ruiz
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 48.8% 20 / 41 Matches 46.7% 7 / 15 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 53.0% 35 / 66 Matches 43.5% 10 / 23 Matches
Current rank 327 736

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz
Prize money (career) $82,675 USD $45,436 USD
Rating 327 736
Age 25 28

Win percentage (match / set)

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz
Match Wins 49 % 47 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 47 %
Wins in Straight Sets 34 % 33 %
Wins From Behind 9 % 20 %
Won At Least 1 Set 61 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 53 %
Set 2 Win 49 % 57 %
Set 3 Win 60 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.61 8.67 8.64
Over 6.5 88 % 93 % 91 %
Over 7.5 65 % 53 % 59 %
Over 8.5 40 % 40 % 40 %
Over 9.5 30 % 27 % 29 %
Over 10.5 15 % 20 % 18 %
Over 11.5 15 % 20 % 18 %

Aces

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz Match total
Aces Per Match 0.57 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 14 % N/A N/A
1+ 29 % N/A N/A
2+ 14 % N/A N/A
3+ 14 % N/A N/A
4+ 0 % N/A N/A
5+ 0 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.21 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 43 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 43 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 43 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 0 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.2 0.2
Over 0.5 20 % 20 % 20 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 80 % 20 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Rina Saigo Celia Cervino Ruiz Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.14 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 57 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 43 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 14 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.37 67.9% BetBoom
P2 2.90 32.1% BetBoom

Saigo R face Cervino Ruiz C on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Saigo R 1-0-0, Cervino Ruiz C 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 67% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Saigo R — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Saigo R): model 60% · market 67% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Saigo R ✓ Pick67.0%
market67%
2 · Cervino Ruiz C33.0%
market33%

Model estimate: win Saigo R 67.0%, win Cervino Ruiz C 33.0%. Model favourite — Saigo R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Saigo R (odds1.36) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵 — Servino Ruis S
  • • 🇪🇸 (tennis)
  • • Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Servino Ruis S
  • • 🇪🇸: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 67% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.36)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saigo R - Cervino Ruiz C August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saigo R.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saigo R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 4.60
  • Glicko: Saigo R 67.0% / Cervino Ruiz C 33.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.8% 4 books · best price +6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 67.2%
2 32.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.37 → 1.37
Winner 2 2.85 → 2.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Saigo R
66%
1.45
Cervino Ruiz C
34%
4.60
Total
Over 20.5
51%
1.95
Under 20.5
49%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market 1 80.1% @ 1.14 / 2 19.9% @ 4.60
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Saigo R 67%
💹 Market Saigo R 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Saigo R - Cervino Ruiz C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Saigo R Cervino Ruiz C Result
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Set 3 7 6 7:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 67.0% fact: home hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.218 / LogLoss 0.400
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 37.0% / Brier 0.460 / LogLoss 0.653
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saigo R 67.8% 60.9% market and model agree
Cervino Ruiz C 32.2% 39.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko67.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.40).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.0% / 33.0% probabilities
Rating 1,839 / 1,603 Saigo R / Cervino Ruiz C
RD 126 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,587-2,091 / 1,140-2,066 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 Fonbet · no value · model 33.0%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 67.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— 1.74 57.5% —
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% —
2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% —
— — 1.88 53.2%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— 1.97 50.8% —
1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% —
1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% —
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 4.60 21.7%
— — 3.75 26.7%
— — 1.43 69.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
2.40 41.7%
1.50 66.7%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 22.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 28.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 29.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Over 30.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
Under 19.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Saigo R
W
05.08 11:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Saigo R 2:1 Morvayova V. 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Cervino Ruiz C
W
05.08 09:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Cervino Ruiz C 2:0 Ren Y. 🇨🇳Ren Y. 🇨🇳
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaigo R - Cervino Ruiz C

Saigo R
0 matches total
Cervino Ruiz C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history