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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Saigo R - Khomutsianskaya D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 07.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
S
Saigo R
Rank #327 Elo 210
49Struggling Form
W W W W W W L L
K
Khomutsianskaya D
Rank #310 Elo 232
58Average Form
W W W L W L W W
-:-
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Saigo R Khomutsianskaya D
Win % 56% 67.8%
Hard % 54.9% 66.7%
Clay % 57.6% 71.4%
Grass % 50% 0%
Deciding set % 55.8% 64.4%
Tie-breaks % 59.6% 63.2%
Titles (total) 5 6
Last 10 WWWWWWLWLW WLWWWLLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#327 Rating #310
25 Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Saigo R Khomutsianskaya D
Aces per match 0.57 2.00
Double faults per match 1.14 3.5
Breaks per match 3.21 9.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Rina Saigo
Rank:327 Elo: 210
W W W W W W L L
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Rank:310 Elo: 232
W W W L W L W W
Elo favourite:Khomutsianskaya D (edge +22 Elo)

Hard

Rina SaigoDaria Khomutsianskaya
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 20 / 40 Matches 58.3% 14 / 24 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 53.9% 35 / 65 Matches 76.5% 52 / 68 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.57 2.00
Most Aces in a match 14 % 50 %

Clay

Rina SaigoDaria Khomutsianskaya
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Grass

Rina SaigoDaria Khomutsianskaya
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 48.8% 20 / 41 Matches 58.3% 14 / 24 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 53.0% 35 / 66 Matches 76.5% 52 / 68 Matches
Current rank 327 310

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prize money (career) $82,675 USD $19,854 USD
Rating 327 310
Age 25 —

Win percentage (match / set)

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya
Match Wins 49 % 58 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 58 %
Wins in Straight Sets 34 % 42 %
Wins From Behind 9 % 9 %
Won At Least 1 Set 61 % 71 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 63 %
Set 2 Win 49 % 50 %
Set 3 Win 60 % 57 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.61 9.63 9.12
Over 6.5 88 % 92 % 90 %
Over 7.5 65 % 83 % 74 %
Over 8.5 40 % 71 % 56 %
Over 9.5 30 % 42 % 36 %
Over 10.5 15 % 29 % 22 %
Over 11.5 15 % 29 % 22 %

Aces

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya Match total
Aces Per Match 0.57 2.00 2.57
Most Aces in a match 14 % 50 % N/A
1+ 29 % 75 % 79 %
2+ 14 % 75 % 65 %
3+ 14 % 50 % 32 %
4+ 0 % 0 % 20 %
5+ 0 % 0 % 20 %

Breaks

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.21 9.5 12.71
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 43 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 43 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 43 % 100 % 100 %
Over 4.5 0 % 100 % 100 %
Over 5.5 0 % 100 % 100 %

Tie-breaks

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.25 0.23
Over 0.5 20 % 25 % 23 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 75 % 23 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Rina Saigo Daria Khomutsianskaya Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.14 3.5 4.64
Over 0.5 (1+) 57 % 75 % 93 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 43 % 75 % 86 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 14 % 75 % 79 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 0 % 50 % 47 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 50 % 40 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 25 % 27 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Saigo R take on Khomutsianskaya D on August 7, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Saigo R 2-0-0, Khomutsianskaya D 2-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Saigo R — 54%

1 · Saigo R54.2%
2 · Khomutsianskaya D45.8%

Model estimate: win Saigo R 54.2%, win Khomutsianskaya D 45.8%. Model favourite — Saigo R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Saigo R (odds1.85) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵 — Khomutyanskaya D
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Khomutyanskaya D
  • • (World): forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Saygo R
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saigo R - Khomutsianskaya D August 7, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khomutsianskaya D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.67

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books
1 44.1%
2 55.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Saigo R
45%
2.12
Khomutsianskaya D
55%
1.67

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 44.7% @ 2.07 / 2 55.3% @ 1.67
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Saigo R 54%
💹 Market Khomutsianskaya D 56%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Saigo R - Khomutsianskaya D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saigo R - 52.9%
Khomutsianskaya D - 47.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko54.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.29).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 54.2% / 45.8% probabilities
Rating 1,850 / 1,803 Saigo R / Khomutsianskaya D
RD 126 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,597-2,102 / 1,469-2,137 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 45.8%
1 2.07 Fonbet · value +12.1% · model 54.2%
Total
Over 21.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 21.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 21.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 21.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0%
1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Saigo R
W W
06.08 09:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Saigo R 2:1 Servino Ruis S. 🇪🇸
05.08 11:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Saigo R 2:1 Morvayova V. 🇸🇰
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Khomutsianskaya D
W W
06.08 11:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Khomutsianskaya D 2:1 Doden O. 🇫🇷Doden O. 🇫🇷
04.08 09:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
Khomutsianskaya D 2:0 Tse E. (Nzl)Tse E. (Nzl)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage