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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Toma M - Gao Xinyu

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Toma M meet Gao Xinyu on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Toma M — 52%

1 · Toma M52.3%
2 · Gao Xinyu47.7%

Model estimate: win Toma M 52.3%, win Gao Xinyu 47.7%. Model favourite — Toma M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toma M - Gao Xinyu August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gao Xinyu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 9.40 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 9.9%
2 90.1%

Odds source: Betcity line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toma M

no data

Gao Xinyu
3-7WLLWLLLWLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
T
Toma M
Gao Xinyu
Gao Xinyu
-:-
Odds
P1 9.40 9.9% BetBoom
P2 1.03 90.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 9.9% @ 9.40 / 2 90.1% @ 1.03
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Toma M - Gao Xinyu

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toma M 9.9% 52.3% Glicko contrarian
Gao Xinyu 90.1% 47.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.3% / 47.7% probabilities
Rating 1,717 / 1,718 Toma M / Gao Xinyu
RD 177 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,362-2,071 / 1,428-2,009 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 47.7%
1 9.40 market consensus · weak value +391.9% · model 52.3%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
9.40 10.6%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Toma M
W W L L L
03.08 09:10 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Orense
Toma M 2:0 Lopes-Alkaras E
02.08 09:12 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Orense
Toma M 2:0 Martines-Kintana A
27.07 09:08 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Khekhingen
Toma M 1:2 Khanatani N
22.07 08:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Women. Khorb
Toma M 1:2 Torner Sensano N. 🇪🇸
22.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Toma M 1:2 Torner Sensano N. 🇪🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Gao Xinyu
L W W L W
21.07 08:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia), hard
Gao Xinyu 0:2 Tagger L. 🇦🇹Tagger L. 🇦🇹
19.07 07:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia) - Qualifying, hard
Gao Xinyu 2:1 Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿
18.07 07:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Livesport Prague Open (Czechia) - Qualifying, hard
Gao Xinyu 2:0 Bandechchi S. 🇨🇭Bandechchi S. 🇨🇭
16.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Gao Xinyu 0:2 Valdmannova V. 🇨🇿Valdmannova V. 🇨🇿
14.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Gao Xinyu 2:1 Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿Frukhvirtova L. 🇨🇿
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToma M - Gao Xinyu

Toma M
0 matches total
Gao Xinyu
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history