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ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Jorge F - Li Zongyu

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard hard 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
J
Jorge F
L
Li Zongyu
2:0
Odds
P1 1.48 64.2% BetBoom
P2 2.65 35.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Jorge F take on Li Zongyu on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Women - Singles: W75 Ourense (Spain), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 62% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jorge F — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Jorge F): model 47% · market 64% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Jorge F ✓ Pick62.0%
market64%
2 · Li Zongyu38.0%
market36%

Model estimate: win Jorge F 62.0%, win Li Zongyu 38.0%. Model favourite — Jorge F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Li Zongyu (odds2.75) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Zhorzhe F
  • • 🇵🇹 — Li Ch
  • • 🇨🇳 (tennis)
  • • Zhorzhe F
  • • 🇵🇹: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Li Ch
  • • 🇨🇳: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Li Ch
  • • 🇨🇳: probability 53% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jorge F - Li Zongyu August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jorge F.

Line favourite market consensus: Jorge F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / 2 2.65
  • Glicko: Jorge F 62.0% / Li Zongyu 38.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books · best price +2.1%
1 ✓ Pick 63.8%
2 36.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 64.2% @ 1.48 / 2 35.8% @ 2.65
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Jorge F - Li Zongyu

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 62.0% fact: home hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.288 / LogLoss 0.477
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.4% fact: home hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.665
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jorge F 63.8% 62.0% market and model agree
Li Zongyu 36.3% 38.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.0% / 38.0% probabilities
Rating 1,598 / 1,760 Jorge F / Li Zongyu
RD 199 / 188 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,199-1,996 / 1,384-2,135 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 38.0%
1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 62.0%
Total
Over 20.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.86 53.8%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6%
2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.35 42.6%
Match center
Jorge F
L L W W L
29.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
Jorge F 0:2 Kurmi F. 🇲🇹
11.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
Jorge F 0:2 Lee C. Y. 🇺🇸Lee C. Y. 🇺🇸
10.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
Jorge F 2:0 Voloshchuk A. 🇵🇹
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Corroios-Seixal (Portugal), hard
Jorge F 2:0 Pavlova K. (World)Pavlova K. (World)
01.07 16:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Elvas (Portugal), hard
Jorge F 1:2 Mitsich E. 🇦🇺Mitsich E. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Li Zongyu
W W L W L
14.06 01:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Wuning (China), hard
Li Zongyu 2:0 Huang Yujia 🇨🇳Huang Yujia 🇨🇳
13.06 02:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W100 Wuning (China), hard
Li Zongyu 2:0 Khontama M. 🇯🇵Khontama M. 🇯🇵
29.05 01:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Wuning 2 (China), hard
Li Zongyu 1:2 Shubladze A. (World)Shubladze A. (World)
26.05 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Wuning 2 (China), hard
Li Zongyu 2:0 Yashina E. (World)
23.05 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Wuning (China), hard
Li Zongyu 1:2 Shubladze A. (World)Shubladze A. (World)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJorge F - Li Zongyu

Jorge F
0 matches total
Li Zongyu
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history