AI verdict

AI pick Harris L win probability ~55% confidence Medium best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Harris L. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger Cancun, Mexico Men Singles
ATP Challenger Cancun, Mexico Men Singles International

Harris L - Shelbayh A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger Cancun, Mexico Men Singles
ATP Challenger Cancun, Mexico Men Singles 18.08.2026 02:15 UTC Finished
18.08.2026 02:15 UTC Finished
Harris L
Harris L
W W W W W
Shelbayh A
Shelbayh A
L L W W W
2:0 6:3 6:2
1 2 GP
Harris L 6 6 2
Shelbayh A 3 2 0
1 2
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 1.60 57.9% BetBoom
P2 2.20 42.1% BetBoom

Harris L go head-to-head with Shelbayh A on August 18, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Cancun, Mexico Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Harris L 5-0-0, Shelbayh A 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Harris L55%

1 · Harris L ✓ Pick55.3%
2 · Shelbayh A44.7%

Model estimate: win Harris L 55.3%, win Shelbayh A 44.7%. Model favourite — Harris L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Harris L - Shelbayh A August 18, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Harris L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Harris L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Harris L 55.3% / Shelbayh A 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 ↑ 1.60
Winner 2 2.35 ↓ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Harris L
7-3LWLWLWWWWW
sets for 1.6sets against 0.9
Shelbayh A
5-5LLWLWWWWLL
sets for 1.2sets against 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 18.08.2026 02:15 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Harris L 55%
💹 Market Harris L 92%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Harris L - Shelbayh A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Harris L Shelbayh A Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 55.3% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.592
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.487 / LogLoss 0.680
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Harris L 57.9% 55.3% market and model agree
Shelbayh A 42.1% 44.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.3% / 44.7% probabilities
Rating 1,760 / 1,682 Harris L / Shelbayh A
RD 117 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,526-1,994 / 1,361-2,002 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.20 83.3%
1.60 62.5%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2%
2.02 49.5%
1.87 53.5%
3.70 27.0%
2.20 45.5%
9.00 11.1%
8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 18.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 19.5 5.10 19.6%
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 22.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 24.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 17.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 18.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 19.5 1.11 90.1%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 21.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 22.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 23.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 24.5 1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Harris L
W W W W W
2026-08-16 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Ilagan A 0:2 Harris L
2026-08-15 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Milavsky D 1:2 Harris L
2026-08-14 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Harris L 2:1 Wendelken H
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Harris L 2:0 Rottgering M
2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Harris L 2:0 Fenty A
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Shelbayh A
L L W W W
2026-08-13 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Vandecasteele Q 2:0 Shelbayh A Shelbayh A
2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA
Shelbayh A 1:2 Lajovic D Shelbayh A
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Shelbayh A 2:0 Cina F Shelbayh A
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Bolt A 0:2 Shelbayh A Shelbayh A
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:0 Rottgering M Shelbayh A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Harris L - Shelbayh A

Harris L
0 matches total
Shelbayh A
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harris L vs Shelbayh A?

By the PropickAI model, Harris L is favoured — about 55% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Harris L vs Shelbayh A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Harris L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Harris L vs Shelbayh A start?

August 18, 2026.