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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Johnson Spencer - Hara Friend J D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Johnson Spencer take on Hara Friend J D on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Johnson Spencer 3-0-2, Hara Friend J D 4-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Hara Friend J D — 54%

1 · Johnson Spencer46.4%
2 · Hara Friend J D53.6%

Model estimate: win Johnson Spencer 46.4%, win Hara Friend J D 53.6%. Model favourite — Hara Friend J D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Hara Friend J D (odds1.58) Score 1:2 confidence 54%
  • • Dzhonson Spenser: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • • Khara-Frend Dzh-D: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Khara-Frend Dzh-D: probability 54% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Johnson Spencer - Hara Friend J D August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hara Friend J D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.03 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 46.3%
2 53.7%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.10 → 2.10
Winner P2 1.65 → 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
Johnson Spencer
Johnson Spencer
W W W L L
Hara Friend J D
Hara Friend J D
W L W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.10 44.0% BetBoom
P2 1.65 56.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 46.3% @ 2.03 / 2 53.7% @ 1.75
Form 6 matches
Match center

Johnson Spencer - Hara Friend J D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Johnson Spencer 44.0% 46.4%
Hara Friend J D 56.0% 53.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.4% / 53.6% probabilities
Rating 1,664 / 1,832 Johnson Spencer / Hara Friend J D
RD 171 / 168 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,322-2,007 / 1,496-2,168 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 53.6%
1 2.03 Fonbet · no value · model 46.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.65 60.6%
2.08 48.1%
1.78 56.2%
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 21.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.03 49.3%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Johnson Spencer
W W W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Johnson Spencer Echargui M 0:2 Johnson Spencer
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Johnson Spencer Colby R 1:2 Johnson Spencer
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Johnson Spencer Forbes M 0:2 Johnson Spencer
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Johnson Spencer Johnson Spencer 0:2 Wong C
2026-07-18 2026 Lincoln, USA
Johnson Spencer Tomic B 2:1 Johnson Spencer
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Hara Friend J D
W L W W W
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Hara Friend J D 2:1 Smith Colton Hara Friend J D
2026-07-31 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Wolf J J Hara Friend J D
2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Bonzi B 1:2 Hara Friend J D Hara Friend J D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Samuel T Hara Friend J D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Broady L 1:2 Hara Friend J D Hara Friend J D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage