Echargui M meet Johnson Spencer on August 4, 2026 in the Leksington, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Echargui M 1-0-4, Johnson Spencer 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Johnson Spencer — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Johnson Spencer): model 50% · market 58%Δ −8 ppmodel estimates below the market
57%2
1 · Echargui M43.1%
2 · Johnson Spencer ✓ Pick56.9%
Model estimate: win Echargui M 43.1%, win Johnson Spencer 56.9%. Model favourite — Johnson Spencer.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Dzhonson Spenser: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.88)
•no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Echargui M - Johnson Spencer August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Johnson Spencer. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / 2 1.60
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
4 books · best price +6.2%
142.4%
2 ✓ Pick57.6%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.88↑ 2.20
Winner P21.88↓ 1.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisLeksington
Leksington04.08.2026 18:00 UTCNot started
04.08.2026 18:00 UTCNot started
Echargui M
LWLLL
Johnson Spencer
WWLLW
-:-
Odds
P12.20
43.7% BetBoom
P21.71
56.3% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Match center
Start04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market1 42.1% @ 2.20 / 2 57.9% @ 1.60
Form5 matches
Match center
Echargui M - Johnson Spencer
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Echargui M42.4%43.1%
Johnson Spencer57.6%56.9%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P243.1% / 56.9%
probabilities
Rating1,540 / 1,616
Echargui M / Johnson Spencer
RD258 / 185
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,024-2,056 / 1,247-1,985
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.60
Fonbet · no value · model 56.9%
12.20
Fonbet · no value · model 43.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.65
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.65
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.52.10
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.52.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.51.68
Fonbet · line only
Over 22.51.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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