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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
04.08.2026 19:09 UTC
Not started

ATP Challenger. Lexington

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

International Tennis
Hara Friend J D
Hara Friend J D
- : -
Not started
Smith Colton
Smith Colton

Hara Friend J D take on Smith Colton on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Smith Colton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 33.7%
2 66.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Smith Colton · sets 0:1 · games 5-7 6-5 · game A:40 · BP!

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

34% 66%
Hara Friend J D (1) Smith Colton (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 19:09 UTC
Market 1 33.7% @ 2.75 / 2 66.3% @ 1.40
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
2.50 40.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.47 68.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.30 43.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.55 39.2%
1.80 55.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 22.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 23.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 24.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 25.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 28.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 29.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 30.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 31.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 32.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 33.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 20.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 21.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 23.5 2.02 49.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
1.40 71.4%