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ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington International
05.08.2026 17:20 UTC Match prediction

Harris L - Lajovic D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Lexington
ATP Challenger. Lexington grass 05.08.2026 17:20 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 17:20 UTC Finished
Harris L
Harris L
Rank #149 Elo 378
W L L L L W W L
Lajovic D
Lajovic D
Rank #179 Elo 317
L L W W L W L W
1:2 6:0 3:6 4:6
1 2 3 GP
Harris L 6 3 4 1
Lajovic D 0 6 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 9.00 20.0% BetBoom
P2 2.25 80.0% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#149 Rating #179
36 Age 29
1.83m Height (cm) 1.93m
83kg Weight (kg) 80kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Harris L Lajovic D
Aces per match 4.00 8.38
Double faults per match 1.39 1.38
Breaks per match 2.89 3.1

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Dusan Lajovic
Rank:149 Elo: 378
W L L L L W W L
Lloyd Harris
Rank:179 Elo: 317
L L W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Lajovic D (edge +61 Elo)

Hard

Dusan LajovicLloyd Harris
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches 73.3% 11 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 46.7% 7 / 15 Matches 67.7% 21 / 31 Matches

Clay

Dusan LajovicLloyd Harris
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.4% 13 / 28 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 53.7% 22 / 41 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches

Grass

Dusan LajovicLloyd Harris
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris
H2H wins 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%)
Sets 2 (50.0%) 2 (50.0%)
Wins this year 50.0% 20 / 40 Matches 64.0% 16 / 25 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 51.7% 31 / 60 Matches 62.8% 27 / 43 Matches
Current rank 149 179

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris
Prize money (career) $10,297,618 USD $4,069,356 USD
Rating 149 179
Age 36 29
Height 1.83m 1.93m
Weight 83kg 80kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris
Match Wins 50 % 64 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 63 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 67 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 35 % 40 %
Wins From Behind 9 % 27 %
Won At Least 1 Set 70 % 84 %
Set 1 Win 60 % 64 %
Set 2 Win 46 % 58 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Harris L go head-to-head with Lajovic D on August 5, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Lexington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Harris L 2-0-3, Lajovic D 1-1-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Harris L — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Harris L): model 52% · market 59% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Harris L58.0%
2 · Lajovic D42.0%

Model estimate: win Harris L 58.0%, win Lajovic D 42.0%. Model favourite — Harris L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Harris L (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦 — Layovich D (tennis)
  • • Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Layovich D: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦: probability 58% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Harris L - Lajovic D August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lajovic D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lajovic D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.04
  • Glicko: Harris L 58.0% / Lajovic D 42.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books · best price +469.6%
1 58.6%
2 41.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.58 ↑ 9.00
Winner 2 2.25 ↓ 1.04

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Harris L
5-5WWLLWLWWLL
scored 1.3conceded 1.0
Lajovic D

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 17:46 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 1:2
Claude updated05.08.2026 17:50 UTC
1 63% ✓ favourite
2 37%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games (1 — tolko ot 1.60)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 2:1 Over 22.5
Claude 63% 37% 2:0 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games (1 — tolko ot 1.60)
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 17:20 UTC
Market 1 10.4% @ 9.00 / 2 89.6% @ 1.04
Coverage grass
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Harris L 63%
📐 Math model Harris L 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Harris L - Lajovic D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Harris L Lajovic D Result
Set 1 6 0 6:0
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 58.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.672 / LogLoss 0.867
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.712
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Harris L 58.6% 53.8% market and model agree
Lajovic D 41.4% 46.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko58.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.0% / 42.0% probabilities
Rating 1,472 / 1,485 Harris L / Lajovic D
RD 171 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,131-1,813 / 996-1,974 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 42.0%
1 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +421.7% · model 58.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 14.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
5.40 18.5%
1.80 55.6%
8.50 11.8%
11.00 9.1%
2.65 37.7%
1.45 69.0%
3.05 32.8%
3.90 25.6%
1.10 90.9%
1.90 52.6%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.42 70.4%
2.60 38.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.16 86.2%
1.22 82.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 14.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 15.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 16.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 17.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 18.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 20.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 21.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 24.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 25.5 4.80 20.8%
Over 26.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 27.5 6.20 16.1%
Under 14.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 15.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 16.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 17.5 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 10.50 9.5%

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.6 10.2 9.9
Over 6.5 94 % 100 % 97 %
Over 7.5 89 % 96 % 93 %
Over 8.5 75 % 88 % 82 %
Over 9.5 50 % 63 % 57 %
Over 10.5 22 % 33 % 28 %
Over 11.5 22 % 33 % 28 %

Aces

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Aces Per Match 4.00 8.38 12.38
Most Aces in a match 33 % 83 % N/A
1+ 89 % 96 % 100 %
2+ 72 % 92 % 100 %
3+ 67 % 88 % 95 %
4+ 50 % 83 % 92 %
5+ 36 % 83 % 89 %

Breaks

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.89 3.1 5.99
Over 0.5 100 % 96 % 100 %
Over 1.5 58 % 96 % 98 %
Over 2.5 11 % 42 % 98 %
Over 3.5 3 % 42 % 94 %
Over 4.5 0 % 29 % 61 %
Over 5.5 0 % 4 % 61 %

Tie-breaks

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.36 0.38 0.37
Over 0.5 31 % 38 % 34 %
Over 1.5 6 % 0 % 3 %
Under 0.5 69 % 63 % 34 %
Under 1.5 94 % 100 % 3 %

Double faults

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.39 1.38 2.77
Over 0.5 (1+) 67 % 71 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 47 % 29 % 75 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 19 % 21 % 65 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 6 % 8 % 49 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 8 % 37 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 0 % 29 %

Net points

Dusan Lajovic Lloyd Harris Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.48 7.56 15.04
Over 4.5 (5+) 62 % 88 % 75 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 52 % 75 % 64 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 45 % 63 % 54 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 34 % 56 % 45 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 24 % 50 % 37 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 14 % 38 % 26 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match center
Harris L
W L W L L
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA
Harris L Searle H 1:2 Harris L
2026-07-23 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Harris L Michelsen A 2:0 Harris L
2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Harris L Echargui M 0:2 Harris L
2026-06-01 2026 Birmingham, Great Britain
Harris L Bu Yunchaokete 2:1 Harris L
2026-05-20 2026 French Open, Paris, France, Qualifying
Harris L Pellegrino A 2:1 Harris L
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Lajovic D
W D L L L
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
McCabe J 1:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Hewitt Cruz 0:0 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-07-13 2026 Umag, Croatia
Lajovic D 1:2 Van Assche L Lajovic D
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Fritz T 3:0 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 3rd Round
Gaubas V 3:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHarris L - Lajovic D

Harris L
0 matches total
Lajovic D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history