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Leksington
Leksington International
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Pacheco Mendez R - Mayo A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Leksington
Leksington 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Pacheco Mendez R
Pacheco Mendez R
W L W L L
Mayo A
Mayo A
W L W W L
0:2 4:6 6:7
1 2 GP
Pacheco Mendez R 4 6 0
Mayo A 6 7 2
1 2
Odds
P1 1.69 55.4% BetBoom
P2 2.10 44.6% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Pacheco Mendez R face Mayo A on August 3, 2026 in the Leksington, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pacheco Mendez R 2-0-3, Mayo A 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 55% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pacheco Mendez R — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pacheco Mendez R): model 55% · market 55% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Pacheco Mendez R ✓ Pick55.3%
2 · Mayo A44.7%

Model estimate: win Pacheco Mendez R 55.3%, win Mayo A 44.7%. Model favourite — Pacheco Mendez R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pacheco Mendez R (odds1.72) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Pacheko-Mendes R: forma VPVP (2)
  • • Mayo E: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.75→1.70 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Pacheko-Mendes R: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pacheco Mendez R - Mayo A August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mayo A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mayo A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.00 / 2 1.12
  • Glicko: Pacheco Mendez R 55.3% / Mayo A 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +196.7%
1 ✓ Pick 54.9%
2 45.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.75 ↓ 1.65
Winner 2 2.02 ↑ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 18.3% @ 5.00 / 2 81.7% @ 1.12
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pacheco Mendez R - Mayo A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Pacheco Mendez R Mayo A Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 6 7 6:7
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 55.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.611 / LogLoss 0.805
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 50.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.513 / LogLoss 0.706
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pacheco Mendez R 55.3% 55.3% market and model agree
Mayo A 44.7% 44.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.3% / 44.7% probabilities
Rating 1,650 / 1,577 Pacheco Mendez R / Mayo A
RD 200 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,249-2,050 / 1,205-1,950 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 44.7%
1 5.00 Fonbet · weak value +176.5% · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 5.00 20.0%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.12 89.3%
1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.37 73.0%
— — 1.16 86.2%
— — 3.25 30.8%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.77 56.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 2.50 40.0%
Over 23.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
Over 24.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 27.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 28.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 29.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 30.5 — — 3.30 30.3%
Over 31.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Under 19.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2% 5.00 20.0% 1.68 59.5%
2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% 1.12 89.3% 2.06 48.5%
Match center
Pacheco Mendez R
W L W L L
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Pacheco Mendez R Pacheco Mendez R 2:0 Pascual Ferra R
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Pacheco Mendez R Shapovalov D 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Pacheco Mendez R Shimabukuro S 1:2 Pacheco Mendez R
2026-07-07 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Pacheco Mendez R Pacheco Mendez R 0:2 Meligeni Rodrigues Alves F
2026-07-03 2026 Quito, Ecuador
Pacheco Mendez R Meligeni Rodrigues Alves F 2:1 Pacheco Mendez R
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Mayo A
W L W W L
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Mayo A 2:1 Langmo C Mayo A
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Mayo A 1:2 Duckworth J Mayo A
2026-07-27 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying
Mayo A 2:0 Pascual Ferra R Mayo A
2026-07-26 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying
King Evan 0:2 Mayo A Mayo A
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Michelsen A 2:1 Mayo A Mayo A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPacheco Mendez R - Mayo A

Pacheco Mendez R
0 matches total
Mayo A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history