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Leksington
Leksington International
02.08.2026 14:30 UTC

Pacheco Mendez R - Pascual Ferra R

Pacheco Mendez R go head-to-head with Pascual Ferra R on August 2, 2026 in the Leksington, International.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Pacheco Mendez R — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Pacheco Mendez R): model 44% · market 65% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Pacheco Mendez R ✓ Pick63.2%
market65%
2 · Pascual Ferra R36.8%
market35%

Model estimate: win Pacheco Mendez R 63.2%, win Pascual Ferra R 36.8%. Model favourite — Pacheco Mendez R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pacheco Mendez R (odds1.41) Score 2:1 confidence 63%
  • • Pacheko-Mendes R: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Paskual-Ferra R: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • Model backs Pacheko-Mendes R: probability 63% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pacheco Mendez R - Pascual Ferra R August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pacheco Mendez R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.42 → 1.42
Pobeditel P2 2.65 → 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Leksington
Leksington 02.08.2026 14:30 UTC Not started
02.08.2026 14:30 UTC Not started
Pacheco Mendez R
Pacheco Mendez R
Pascual Ferra R
Pascual Ferra R
-:-
Odds
P1 1.43 65.8% BetBoom
P2 2.75 34.2% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 02.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 65.1% @ 1.42 / 2 34.9% @ 2.65
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pacheco Mendez R - Pascual Ferra R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pacheco Mendez R 65.4% 63.2% market and model agree
Pascual Ferra R 34.6% 36.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.2% / 36.8% probabilities
Rating 1,465 / 1,743 Pacheco Mendez R / Pascual Ferra R
RD 217 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,030-1,900 / 1,337-2,150 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 36.8%
1 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 63.2%
Total
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Under 23.5 — — 1.52 65.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.43 69.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%
2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Pacheco Mendez R
L W L
30.07 03:15 UTC+0 ATP. Los-Kabos
Pacheco Mendez R 0:2 Shapovalov DShapovalov D
29.07 01:00 UTC+0 ATP. Los-Kabos
Pacheco Mendez R 2:1 Shimabukuro Sh. 🇯🇵Shimabukuro Sh. 🇯🇵
07.07 18:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Bogota
Pacheco Mendez R 0:2 Meligeni Rodriges-Alvesh F
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Pascual Ferra R
L W W
22.07 14:00 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Pascual Ferra R 1:2 Martin AndresMartin Andres
21.07 14:04 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Pascual Ferra R 2:0 Imamura M
20.07 15:30 UTC+0 Blumfild-Khils
Pascual Ferra R 2:0 Kozlov SKozlov S
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage