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Liberets
Liberets International
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Kumstat J - Nagal S

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kumstat J — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kumstat J): model 51% · market 59% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kumstat J54.0%
2 · Nagal S46.0%

Model estimate: win Kumstat J 54.0%, win Nagal S 46.0%. Model favourite — Kumstat J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kumstat J (odds1.67) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Kumstat Ya: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Nagal S: forma VVPV (3-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.78→1.72 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kumstat Ya: probability 54% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kumstat J - Nagal S August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kumstat J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 59.2%
2 40.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.78 ↓ 1.72
Pobeditel P2 1.98 ↑ 2.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Liberets
Liberets 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Kumstat J
Kumstat J
W W W L W
Nagal S
Nagal S
W W W L L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.72 54.4% BetBoom
P2 2.05 45.6% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 59.2% @ 1.55 / 2 40.8% @ 2.25
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kumstat J - Nagal S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kumstat J 54.3% 54.0% market and model agree
Nagal S 45.7% 46.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 54.0% / 46.0% probabilities
Rating 1,727 / 1,769 Kumstat J / Nagal S
RD 183 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,361-2,093 / 1,383-2,154 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 Fonbet · weak value +3.5% · model 46.0%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 54.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
— — 2.20 45.5%
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.83 54.6%
— — 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%
2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7%
Match center
Kumstat J
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kumstat J Kumstat J 2:0 Ferreira Silva F
2026-07-29 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kumstat J Kumstat J 2:0 Seyboth Wild T
2026-07-27 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Kumstat J Kolar Z 1:2 Kumstat J
2026-07-18 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Kumstat J Gentzsch T 2:0 Kumstat J
2026-07-17 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Kumstat J Kumstat J 2:0 Boogaard T
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Nagal S
W W W L L
2026-07-31 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Krumich M 0:2 Nagal S Nagal S
2026-07-29 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Brunclik P 0:2 Nagal S Nagal S
2026-07-27 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Montes-De la Torre I 0:2 Nagal S Nagal S
2026-07-21 2026 Tampere, Finland
Nagal S 0:2 Nedic A Nagal S
2026-07-17 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Nagal S 1:2 Bondioli F Nagal S
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKumstat J - Nagal S

Kumstat J
0 matches total
Nagal S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history