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M15 Monastir
M15 Monastir Mexico
06.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

M15 Monastir

Mexico

Maksim Shazal - Matteo Mesaglio

Mexico Tennis

Maksim Shazal take on Matteo Mesaglio on May 6, 2026 in the M15 Monastir, Mexico.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maksim Shazal - Matteo Mesaglio May 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maksim Shazal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Tennis M15 Monastir
M15 Monastir 06.05.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
06.05.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
Maksim Shazal
Maksim Shazal Mexico
Matteo Mesaglio
Matteo Mesaglio Mexico
W W L W W
-:-
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Mexico Country Mexico
- Rating -
- Age 30
- Height (cm) 196
- Weight (kg) 95
- Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 06.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Match center

Maksim Shazal - Matteo Mesaglio

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Betfair Bwin DraftKings Fonbet MelBet Spreadex
1.00 99.9% 1.00 99.6% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.8% 1.02 98.0% 1.00 99.9% 1.03 97.1%
41.00 2.4% 21.00 4.8% 34.00 2.9% 41.00 2.4% 10.00 10.0% 18.00 5.6% 21.00 4.8%
Match center
Matteo Mesaglio
W W L W W
05.05 11:43 UTC ITF M15 Monastir 16 Men
Matteo Mesaglio 2:1 Gabriele Maria Piano
04.05 08:30 UTC ITF M15 Monastir 16 Men
Matteo Mesaglio 2:0 Alessio Calabrese
29.04 08:38 UTC ITF M15 Monastir 15 Men
Matteo Mesaglio 0:2 Filippo Mazzola
28.04 10:46 UTC ITF M15 Monastir 15 Men
Matteo Mesaglio 2:0 Jovan Bjelobrk
27.04 10:30 UTC ITF M15 Monastir 15 Men
Matteo Mesaglio 2:0 Ned Smith
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage