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M25 Villa Mariya
M25 Villa Mariya Mexico
06.05.2026 12:30 UTC
Finished

M25 Villa Mariya

Mexico

Nikolas Bruna - Karlos Mariya Sarate

Mexico Tennis
Nikolas Bruna
Nikolas Bruna
0 : 2
Finished
Karlos Mariya Sarate
Karlos Mariya Sarate

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nikolas Bruna - Karlos Mariya Sarate May 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nikolas Bruna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 79.1%
2 20.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Tennis M25 Villa Mariya
M25 Villa Mariya 06.05.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
06.05.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
Nikolas Bruna
Nikolas Bruna Mexico
Karlos Mariya Sarate
Karlos Mariya Sarate Mexico
0:2
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Mexico Country Mexico
- Rating -
20 Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 06.05.2026 12:30 UTC
Match center

Nikolas Bruna - Karlos Mariya Sarate

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 BetBoom Betfair Bwin DraftKings Fonbet MelBet Spreadex
1.29 77.8% 6.80 14.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.16 86.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.67 59.9%
3.50 28.6% 1.07 93.5% 4.20 23.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.45 29.0% 4.40 22.7% 3.48 28.7% 2.10 47.6%