M25 Villa Mariya
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Bet365 | BetBoom | Betfair | Bwin | DraftKings | Fonbet | MelBet | Spreadex |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 77.8% | 6.80 14.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | 1.07 93.5% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.45 29.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 3.48 28.7% | 2.10 47.6% |
Full head-to-head historyNikolas Bruna - Karlos Mariya Sarate
The Nikolas Bruna - Karlos Mariya Sarate breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.