Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Average Games in a Set
8.81
9.42
9.12
Over 6.5
89 %
96 %
93 %
Over 7.5
70 %
83 %
77 %
Over 8.5
50 %
57 %
54 %
Over 9.5
28 %
39 %
34 %
Over 10.5
11 %
26 %
19 %
Over 11.5
11 %
26 %
19 %
Aces
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Aces Per Match
0.62
1.00
1.62
Most Aces in a match
13 %
50 %
N/A
1+
50 %
100 %
94 %
2+
13 %
0 %
63 %
3+
0 %
0 %
32 %
4+
0 %
0 %
0 %
5+
0 %
0 %
0 %
Breaks
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Breaks Per Match
13
10.5
23.5
Over 0.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 2.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 3.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 4.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 5.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Tie-breaks
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.17
0.35
0.26
Over 0.5
17 %
30 %
24 %
Over 1.5
0 %
4 %
2 %
Under 0.5
83 %
70 %
24 %
Under 1.5
100 %
96 %
2 %
Double faults
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
1
3
4
Over 0.5 (1+)
75 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
25 %
100 %
88 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
0 %
100 %
82 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
0 %
0 %
82 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
0 %
0 %
32 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
0 %
0 %
19 %
Net points
Radu Mihai Papoe
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
3.5
3
6.5
Over 4.5 (5+)
50 %
0 %
25 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
0 %
0 %
0 %
Over 6.5 (7+)
0 %
0 %
0 %
Over 7.5 (8+)
0 %
0 %
0 %
Over 8.5 (9+)
0 %
0 %
0 %
Over 9.5 (10+)
0 %
0 %
0 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P12.55
37.4% BetBoom
P21.52
62.7% BetBoom
Alexandrescou Y T meet Papoe R M on August 7, 2026 in the Plovdiv 2, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Alexandrescou Y T 3-0-2, Papoe R M 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Papoe R M — 62%
Pure model vs market (2 · Papoe R M): model 50% · market 64%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
62%2
1 · Alexandrescou Y T37.7%
market36%
2 · Papoe R M ✓ Pick62.3%
market64%
Model estimate: win Alexandrescou Y T 37.7%, win Papoe R M 62.3%. Model favourite — Papoe R M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Papoe R M (odds1.44)Score 1:2confidence 62%
•Aleksandresku Ya-T: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•Papoe R-M: forma VVVV (4-0)
•Model backs Papoe R-M: probability 62% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.44)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alexandrescou Y T - Papoe R M August 7, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Papoe R M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.48
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
4 books · best price +1.4%
136.4%
2 ✓ Pick63.6%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.55→ 2.55
Winner P21.45→ 1.45
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Alexandrescou Y T
36%
2.55
Papoe R M
64%
1.48
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Alexandrescou Y T
4-6LLWLLWWLLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.4
Papoe R M
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start07.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market1 37.2% @ 2.50 / 2 62.8% @ 1.48
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelPapoe R M 62%
💹 MarketPapoe R M 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Alexandrescou Y T - Papoe R M
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Alexandrescou Y T36.4%42.8%market and model agree
Papoe R M63.6%57.2%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.45).
Tennis math model
P1 / P237.7% / 62.3%
probabilities
Rating1,868 / 1,946
Alexandrescou Y T / Papoe R M
RD187 / 205
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,494-2,243 / 1,535-2,357
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.48
Fonbet · no value · model 62.3%
12.50
Fonbet · no value · model 37.7%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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