PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
English

AI verdict

AI pick Mashtakov N win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 2.75

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mashtakov N. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Full Access Go deeper than the free pick Your free pick and probability are below. Full Access adds the full 7-AI consensus, every value-edge pick, math-model probabilities and complete reports for every match.
Get Full Access →
Plovdiv 3
Plovdiv 3 International
03.09.2026 08:00 UTC

Mashtakov N vs La Serna J M — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Plovdiv 3
Plovdiv 3 03.09.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.09.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Mashtakov N
Mashtakov N
W W W L W
La Serna J M
La Serna J M
W L W L W
-:-
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mashtakov N — 57%

1 · Mashtakov N ✓ Pick56.6%
2 · La Serna J M43.4%

Model estimate: win Mashtakov N 56.6%, win La Serna J M 43.4%. Model favourite — Mashtakov N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — La Serna J M

Model confidence 66% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mashtakov N - La Serna J M September 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: La Serna J M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 ✓ Pick 33.7%
2 66.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.70 → 2.70
Winner P2 1.40 → 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Unlock the full AI analysis

Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.

Get Full Access →
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 2.70 34.2% BetBoom
P2 1.40 65.9% BetBoom

Mashtakov N go head-to-head with La Serna J M in tennis, in Plovdiv 3, on 3 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Mashtakov N the favourite, with a win probability of about 57%. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 34%.

Latest form: Mashtakov N 5 won and 0 lost; La Serna J M 2 won and 2 lost. Mashtakov N arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1889 for Mashtakov N against 1771 for La Serna J M - a gap of 118 points.

Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 23-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 118 Glicko rating points, the model's 57% for Mashtakov N. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mashtakov N
9-1WWWWWWLWWW
sets for 1.8sets against 0.4
La Serna J M
5-5LWLWLWLWLW
sets for 1.2sets against 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 03.09.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 33.7% @ 2.75 / 2 66.3% @ 1.40
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Mashtakov N 57%
💹 Market La Serna J M 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Mashtakov N - La Serna J M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mashtakov N 34.2% 56.6% Glicko contrarian
La Serna J M 65.9% 43.4% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.6% / 43.4% probabilities
Rating 1,889 / 1,771 Mashtakov N / La Serna J M
RD 184 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,520-2,257 / 1,376-2,165 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 43.4%
1 2.75 Fonbet · weak value +55.6% · model 56.6%
Total
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
1.73 57.8%
2.02 49.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
4.80 20.8%
1.18 84.8%
2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 19.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Mashtakov N
W W W L W
2026-09-01 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria
Mashtakov N Mashtakov N 2:0 Popovic Stefan
2026-08-31 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Mashtakov N 2:0 Opitz J
2026-08-30 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Mashtakov N 2:1 Basel V
2026-08-11 2026 Todi, Italy
Mashtakov N Roca Batalla O 2:0 Mashtakov N
2026-08-10 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Ferrari G 1:2 Mashtakov N
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
La Serna J M
W L W L W
2026-09-01 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria
Vasilev A 0:2 La Serna J M La Serna J M
2026-08-26 2026 Augsburg, Germany
La Serna J M 1:2 Barton H La Serna J M
2026-08-25 2026 Augsburg, Germany
Xassan B 1:2 La Serna J M La Serna J M
2026-08-20 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Compagnucci T 2:1 La Serna J M La Serna J M
2026-08-19 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Staeheli L 0:1 La Serna J M La Serna J M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

More predictions

Kravchenko G – Milic O 02.09 Iannaccone F – Mrva M 03.09 Milev Y – Parisca I 03.09 Nam Chi-Sun / Pak Yisun – Khuan Tsun-Khao / Imamura M 02.09 Jiang Fumin / Zhang Tianhui – Jasika O / Tomic B 02.09 Kong Weiyi / Meng Fanming – Dileini Dzheik / Dileini Dzhessi 02.09

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Mashtakov N vs La Serna J M?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to La Serna J M. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Mashtakov N vs La Serna J M?

Live odds for Mashtakov N vs La Serna J M from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Mashtakov N vs La Serna J M start?

September 3, 2026.