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AI verdict

AI pick Brady Patrick win probability ~60% confidence Medium best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Brady Patrick. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger Roehampton, Great Britain Men Singles
ATP Challenger Roehampton, Great Britain Men Singles International
17.08.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

Ayeni A - Brady Patrick

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger Roehampton, Great Britain Men Singles
ATP Challenger Roehampton, Great Britain Men Singles grass 17.08.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
17.08.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
Ayeni A
Ayeni A
Rank #460 Elo 101
59Average Form
W L W L L L L W
Brady Patrick
Brady Patrick
Rank #812 Elo 35
57Average Form
L L L L W L W W
0:2 1:6 4:6
1 2 GP
Ayeni A 1 4 0
Brady Patrick 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Ayeni A Brady Patrick
Win % 56.6% 50%
Hard % 58.4% 50%
Clay % 46.7% 0%
Grass % 66.7% 0%
Deciding set % 53.2% 0%
Tie-breaks % 56.3% 0%
Titles (total) 4 0
Last 10 WLWLLLLWLW WL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#460 Rating #812
27 Age 21
1.91m Height (cm) 1.88m
84kg Weight (kg) 76kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Ayeni A Brady Patrick
Aces per match 7.60 2.69
Double faults per match 6.8 1.54
Breaks per match 4 3.19

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Alafia Ayeni
Rank:460 Elo: 101
W L W L L L L W
Patrick Brady
Rank:812 Elo: 35
L L L L W L W W
Elo favourite:Ayeni A (edge +66 Elo)

Hard

Alafia AyeniPatrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.9% 11 / 19 Matches 62.5% 10 / 16 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.6% 18 / 33 Matches 60.9% 14 / 23 Matches

Clay

Alafia AyeniPatrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Alafia AyeniPatrick Brady
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 59.4% 19 / 32 Matches 56.5% 13 / 23 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 55.3% 26 / 47 Matches 56.7% 17 / 30 Matches
Current rank 460 812

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady
Prize money (career) $87,657 USD $21,453 USD
Rating 460 812
Age 27 21
Height 1.91m 1.88m
Weight 84kg 76kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady
Match Wins 59 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 56 % 57 %
Wins in Straight Sets 38 % 43 %
Wins From Behind 29 % 9 %
Won At Least 1 Set 78 % 74 %
Set 1 Win 63 % 61 %
Set 2 Win 53 % 57 %
Set 3 Win 58 % 43 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.97 10.13 10.05
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 89 % 78 % 84 %
Over 8.5 81 % 65 % 73 %
Over 9.5 44 % 52 % 48 %
Over 10.5 22 % 43 % 33 %
Over 11.5 22 % 43 % 33 %

Aces

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Aces Per Match 7.60 2.69 10.29
Most Aces in a match 85 % 15 % N/A
1+ 95 % 77 % 100 %
2+ 95 % 69 % 98 %
3+ 95 % 46 % 98 %
4+ 95 % 31 % 94 %
5+ 80 % 8 % 94 %

Breaks

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Breaks Per Match 4 3.19 7.19
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 40 % 100 % 100 %
Over 4.5 35 % 46 % 100 %
Over 5.5 5 % 46 % 73 %

Tie-breaks

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.41 0.43 0.42
Over 0.5 33 % 39 % 36 %
Over 1.5 7 % 4 % 6 %
Under 0.5 67 % 61 % 36 %
Under 1.5 93 % 96 % 6 %

Double faults

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Double Faults Per Match 6.8 1.54 8.34
Over 0.5 (1+) 95 % 85 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 95 % 62 % 93 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 90 % 8 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 90 % 0 % 75 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 80 % 0 % 57 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 70 % 0 % 57 %

Net points

Alafia Ayeni Patrick Brady Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 13.21 18 31.21
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 86 % 60 % 73 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 86 % 60 % 73 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 79 % 60 % 70 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.45 39.1% BetBoom
P2 1.57 61.0% BetBoom

Ayeni A meet Brady Patrick on August 17, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Roehampton, Great Britain Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ayeni A 1-0-4, Brady Patrick 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Brady Patrick — 60%

1 · Ayeni A40.1%
market 39%
2 · Brady Patrick ✓ Pick59.9%
market 61%

Model estimate: win Ayeni A 40.1%, win Brady Patrick 59.9%. Model favourite — Brady Patrick.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Brady Patrick (odds1.77) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Ayeni A: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Bredi Patrik: forma VPVV (3-1)
  • • Model backs Bredi Patrik: probability 54% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ayeni A - Brady Patrick August 17, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brady Patrick.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brady Patrick. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Ayeni A 40.1% / Brady Patrick 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 6 books · best price +3.0%
1 39.5%
2 ✓ Pick 60.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.00 ↑ 2.45
Winner 2 1.77 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ayeni A
39%
9.00
Brady Patrick
61%
1.57
Total
Over 22.5
47%
1.96
Under 22.5
53%
1.76

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 17.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 10.3% @ 9.00 / 2 89.7% @ 1.03
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Brady Patrick 60%
💹 Market Brady Patrick 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Ayeni A - Brady Patrick

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Ayeni A Brady Patrick Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Metric Ayeni A Brady Patrick SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 59.9% fact: away hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.322 / LogLoss 0.513
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.2% fact: away hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.477 / LogLoss 0.670
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ayeni A 39.5% 45.3% market and model agree
Brady Patrick 60.5% 54.7% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko40.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.1% / 59.9% probabilities
Rating 1,619 / 1,808 Ayeni A / Brady Patrick
RD 211 / 204 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,197-2,042 / 1,400-2,216 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 59.9%
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Total
Over 15.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.10 47.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 8.50 11.8%
— — 4.80 20.8%
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 1.13 88.5%
— — 1.57 63.7%
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
6.60 15.2%
10.00 10.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.06 94.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 16.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 17.5 — — 3.40 29.4%
Over 18.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5 — — 4.20 23.8%
Over 20.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 21.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 15.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 16.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
Under 17.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Under 18.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Ayeni A
W L L L L
2026-08-16 2026 Roehampton, Great Britain, Qualifying
Ayeni A Ayeni A 2:0 Stephens Zach
2026-07-19 2026 Winnipeg, Canada, Qualifying
Ayeni A Ayeni A 0:2 Chan Duncan
2026-07-12 2026 Lincoln, USA, Qualifying
Ayeni A Ayeni A 0:2 Forbes M
2026-07-07 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Ayeni A Mena F 2:1 Ayeni A
2026-06-01 2026 Prostejov, Czech Republic, Qualifying
Ayeni A Caniato C A 2:0 Ayeni A
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Brady Patrick
W L W W W
2026-08-16 2026 Roehampton, Great Britain, Qualifying
Delaney Jesse 0:2 Brady Patrick Brady Patrick
2026-07-08 2026 Nottingham 3, Great Britain
Brady Patrick 0:2 Gray A Brady Patrick
2026-07-07 2026 Nottingham 3, Great Britain
Brady Patrick 2:0 Hoeyeraal H Brady Patrick
2026-07-06 2026 Nottingham 3, Great Britain, Qualifying
Seggerman R 0:2 Brady Patrick Brady Patrick
2026-07-05 2026 Nottingham 3, Great Britain, Qualifying
MacKinlay J 0:2 Brady Patrick Brady Patrick
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

Recent form

Ayeni A LWLLLL
Brady Patrick WWLWWW

Match facts

Round: 19 Stadium: Court 3

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ayeni A vs Brady Patrick?

By the PropickAI model, Brady Patrick is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Ayeni A vs Brady Patrick?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Brady Patrick. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Ayeni A vs Brady Patrick start?

August 17, 2026.