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San-Marino
San-Marino International
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Poljicak M - Basilashvili N

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Basilashvili N — 66%

Pure model vs market (2 · Basilashvili N): model 42% · market 62% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Poljicak M34.4%
market38%
2 · Basilashvili N ✓ Pick65.6%
market62%

Model estimate: win Poljicak M 34.4%, win Basilashvili N 65.6%. Model favourite — Basilashvili N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Basilashvili N (odds1.37) Score 1:2 confidence 66%
  • • Basilashvili N: forma P (0-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.35→1.40 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Basilashvili N: probability 66% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poljicak M - Basilashvili N July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Basilashvili N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.40 / 2 1.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 38.5%
2 ✓ Pick 61.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.90 ↓ 2.80
Pobeditel P2 1.35 ↑ 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis San-Marino
San-Marino 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Poljicak M
Poljicak M
Basilashvili N
Basilashvili N
-:-
Odds
P1 2.95 32.2% BetBoom
P2 1.40 67.8% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Poljicak M - Basilashvili N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poljicak M 31.8% 34.4%
Basilashvili N 68.2% 65.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.4% / 65.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,325 Poljicak M / Basilashvili N
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 744-1,906 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 65.6%
1 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 34.4%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 23.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.30 43.5% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
1.60 62.5% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.65 60.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
2.20 45.5% —
— 1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5% —
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.36 42.4%
1.39 71.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Poljicak M
L
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP. Eshtoril. clay
Poljicak M 0:2 Torresh T
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Basilashvili N
L
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP. Eshtoril. clay
Basilashvili N 0:2 Torresh T
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage