When does Ehrenschneider N vs Wehnelt K start?

AI verdict

AI pick Wehnelt K win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.63

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Wehnelt K. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger Sion, Switzerland Men Singles International

18.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP Challenger Sion, Switzerland Men Singles

ATP Challenger Sion, Switzerland Men Singles grass 18.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match in progress

18.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match in progress

Ehrenschneider N

Rank #608 Elo 65

55Average Form

W L W W W L W W

Wehnelt K

Rank #625 Elo 60

56Average Form

W W L W L W L L

-:-

Coverage: grass

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Ehrenschneider N	Wehnelt K
Win %	65.1%	51.4%
Hard %	65.3%	52.5%
Clay %	64.1%	52.1%
Grass %	0%	0%
Deciding set %	44.9%	44%
Tie-breaks %	52.9%	41.2%
Titles (total)	2	1
Last 10	WLWWWLWLWL	WLWWLWWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -

#608 Rating #625

25 Age 30

- Height (cm) 1.88m

- Weight (kg) 82kg

- Hand -

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

	Ehrenschneider N	Wehnelt K
Aces per match	5.50	3.78
Double faults per match	3.5	2.56
Breaks per match	12	2.33

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Nino Ehrenschneider

Rank:608 Elo: 65

W L W W W L W W

Kai Wehnelt

Rank:625 Elo: 60

W W L W L W L L

Elo favourite:Ehrenschneider N (edge +5 Elo)

Hard

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	53.3% 16 / 30 Matches	28.6% 2 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	60.0% 33 / 55 Matches	52.0% 13 / 25 Matches

Clay

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	57.1% 8 / 14 Matches	64.0% 16 / 25 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	55.0% 11 / 20 Matches	61.8% 21 / 34 Matches

Grass

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months	N/A 0 / 0 Matches	N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
H2H wins	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Sets	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
Wins this year	54.6% 24 / 44 Matches	56.3% 18 / 32 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.	58.7% 44 / 75 Matches	57.6% 34 / 59 Matches
Current rank	608	625

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Prize money (career)	$8,614 USD	$127,245 USD
Rating	608	625
Age	25	30
Height	—	1.88m
Weight	—	82kg

Win percentage (match / set)

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Match Wins	55 %	56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)	55 %	56 %
Wins in Straight Sets	43 %	41 %
Wins From Behind	9 %	13 %
Won At Least 1 Set	75 %	75 %
Set 1 Win	57 %	63 %
Set 2 Win	61 %	55 %
Set 3 Win	36 %	45 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st serve percentage	0%	0%
1st serve points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
2nd serve points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved	0/0	0/0
1st return points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
2nd return points won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted	0/0	0/0
Service Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Return Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Total Points Won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Last 10 balls	0	0
Match points saved	0	0
Service games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Return games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)
Total games won	0% (0/0)	0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Average Games in a Set	9.64	8.91	9.28
Over 6.5	100 %	94 %	97 %
Over 7.5	89 %	75 %	82 %
Over 8.5	66 %	59 %	63 %
Over 9.5	41 %	41 %	41 %
Over 10.5	25 %	9 %	17 %
Over 11.5	25 %	9 %	17 %

Aces

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Aces Per Match	5.50	3.78	9.28
Most Aces in a match	50 %	78 %	N/A
1+	100 %	100 %	100 %
2+	100 %	100 %	100 %
3+	100 %	78 %	95 %
4+	50 %	56 %	95 %
5+	50 %	33 %	89 %

Breaks

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Breaks Per Match	12	2.33	14.33
Over 0.5	100 %	22 %	100 %
Over 1.5	100 %	22 %	100 %
Over 2.5	100 %	0 %	100 %
Over 3.5	100 %	0 %	100 %
Over 4.5	100 %	0 %	61 %
Over 5.5	100 %	0 %	61 %

Tie-breaks

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match	0.41	0.22	0.31
Over 0.5	36 %	19 %	28 %
Over 1.5	5 %	3 %	4 %
Under 0.5	64 %	81 %	28 %
Under 1.5	95 %	97 %	4 %

Double faults

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Double Faults Per Match	3.5	2.56	6.06
Over 0.5 (1+)	100 %	89 %	100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)	100 %	78 %	100 %
Over 2.5 (3+)	100 %	67 %	100 %
Over 3.5 (4+)	50 %	22 %	89 %
Over 4.5 (5+)	0 %	0 %	59 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	0 %	0 %	53 %

Net points

	Nino Ehrenschneider	Kai Wehnelt	Match total
Net Points Won Per Match	10	6	16
Over 4.5 (5+)	100 %	67 %	84 %
Over 5.5 (6+)	100 %	33 %	67 %
Over 6.5 (7+)	100 %	33 %	67 %
Over 7.5 (8+)	100 %	33 %	67 %
Over 8.5 (9+)	100 %	33 %	67 %
Over 9.5 (10+)	100 %	33 %	67 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds

P1 2.16 43.0% BetBoom

P2 1.63 57.0% BetBoom

Ehrenschneider N face Wehnelt K on August 18, 2026 in the ATP Challenger Sion, Switzerland Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ehrenschneider N 1-0-4, Wehnelt K 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Wehnelt K — 56%

1 · Ehrenschneider N44.1%

2 · Wehnelt K55.9%

Model estimate: win Ehrenschneider N 44.1%, win Wehnelt K 55.9%. Model favourite — Wehnelt K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ehrenschneider N (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 50%

• Erenshnayder N: forma VVVVP (4-1)
• Venelt K: forma VVP (2-1)
• Model backs Erenshnayder N: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K August 18, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wehnelt K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 2 books

1 43.0%

2 57.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 1.88 ↑ 2.15

Winner P2 1.88 ↓ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Ehrenschneider N

42%

2.16

Wehnelt K

58%

1.63

Total

Over 22.5

48%

1.96

Under 22.5

52%

1.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated18.08.2026 00:12 UTC

1 39%

2 61% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Away Win (P2)

Per AI data Form:WWWWL / WWL H2H: Wehnelt leads 1-0 (won 2-0 in sets) Injuries:none Key:Massive pre-match market line movement toward Wehnelt

Details

Kai Wehnelt is the clear favorite to win this match against Niels Visker (Ehrenschneider N) at the Open de Sion Challenger. The combination of algorithmic model data and substantial market steam indicates strong professional backing for the away player, while the home player faces a severe market downgrade.
Current Form and Market Dynamics
Niels Visker (Ehrenschneider N): Boasts a recent form profile of WWWWL from previous smaller events. However, his entry into this higher-level clay tournament has met with heavy skepticism from the betting public, with his opening price crashing heavily from 1.88 out to 2.15.
Kai Wehnelt: Enters with a recent form of WWL. In stark contrast to his opponent, Wehnelt has been the subject of massive market confidence, with his line steaming aggressively downward from 1.88 into 1.63.
Head-to-Head and Grounding Factors
The historical head-to-head match history shows that Wehnelt has previously defeated Visker in straight sets (6-3, 7-6). There are no critical fresh injury concerns or suspensions reported for either side ahead of this fixture. The underlying baseline model establishes the initial win probability at 44% for Player 1 and 56% for Player 2.
Our final prediction aligns firmly with the market movement, meaning we slightly diverge from the purely static 56% model probability to weight the active market sharp-money steam (shifting Wehnelt's real win probability up to 61%). Visker's baseline can be competitive enough to push a single set close, but Wehnelt's tactical edge on clay and proven H2H record should see him close it out in straight sets.
Match Market Probabilities
P1 (Visker Win): 39%
P2 (Wehnelt Win): 61%
Recommended Additional Markets
Exact Score by Sets: 0:2
Total Games: Under 22.5 Games
Conclusion
The main bet for this fixture is a straight-set victory for the away player.
If you would like to expand your strategy, let me know if you want to look into individual player game totals or first-set winner markets.

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	39%	61%	0:2	Under 22.5	Away Win (P2)

Match center

Start 18.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 43.1% @ 2.15 / 2 56.9% @ 1.63

Coverage grass

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Wehnelt K 61%

📐 Math model Wehnelt K 56%

💹 Market Wehnelt K 57%

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Match center

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Ehrenschneider N 43.0% 46.8% market and model agree

Wehnelt K 57.0% 53.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko44.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.45).

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 44.1% / 55.9% probabilities

Rating 1,650 / 1,588 Ehrenschneider N / Wehnelt K

RD 168 / 224 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,314-1,987 / 1,140-2,035 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 55.9%

1 2.15 Fonbet · no value · model 44.1%

Total

Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.92 52.1%	1.93 51.8%
	1.77 56.5%	1.79 55.9%
	1.78 56.2%	—
	1.93 51.8%	—
	—	1.81 55.3%
	—	1.96 51.0%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.47 68.0%
	3.55 28.2%
	1.25 80.0%
	2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
Over 21.5	1.65 60.6%	—
Over 22.5	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%
Over 23.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Over 24.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Under 21.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 22.5	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%
Under 23.5	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 24.5	1.60 62.5%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5	1.55 64.5%

Match center

Ehrenschneider N

W L L L L

2026-08-16 2026 Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying

Ehrenschneider N Ehrenschneider N 2:0 Papa S

2026-01-04 2026 Nottingham, Great Britain, Qualifying

Ehrenschneider N Ehrenschneider N 1:2 Ritschard A

2025-11-25 2025 Manama 2, Bahrain

Ehrenschneider N Ehrenschneider N 0:2 Erhard M

2025-11-16 2025 Soma Bay, Egypt, Qualifying

Ehrenschneider N Ehrenschneider N 1:2 Agostini S

2025-10-19 2025 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying

Ehrenschneider N Ehrenschneider N 0:2 Molleker R

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Wehnelt K

W L W W L

2026-08-16 2026 Sion, Switzerland, Qualifying

Karma N 1:2 Wehnelt K Wehnelt K

2026-07-07 2026 Liege, Belgium

Broska F 2:0 Wehnelt K Wehnelt K

2026-07-06 2026 Liege, Belgium, Qualifying

Wehnelt K 2:0 Van der Meerschen M Wehnelt K

2026-07-05 2026 Liege, Belgium, Qualifying

Wehnelt K 2:1 Ifi N Wehnelt K

2026-06-30 2026 Troyes, France

Vasilev A 2:1 Wehnelt K Wehnelt K

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K August 18, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

AI predictions

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Recent form

Match facts

Frequently asked questions

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Serve and return stats

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hard

Clay

Grass

H2H series (tennisstats)

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Win percentage (match / set)

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Total games

Aces

Breaks

Tie-breaks

Double faults

Net points

AI match prediction Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K August 18, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Forecast by market

AI predictions

Ehrenschneider N - Wehnelt K

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Recent form

Match facts

More predictions

Frequently asked questions