Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Average Games in a Set
9.4
9.91
9.66
Over 6.5
97 %
100 %
99 %
Over 7.5
83 %
93 %
88 %
Over 8.5
57 %
73 %
65 %
Over 9.5
33 %
53 %
43 %
Over 10.5
23 %
28 %
26 %
Over 11.5
23 %
28 %
26 %
Aces
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Aces Per Match
6.31
1.71
8.02
Most Aces in a match
100 %
24 %
N/A
1+
100 %
65 %
94 %
2+
92 %
53 %
84 %
3+
77 %
35 %
78 %
4+
69 %
6 %
71 %
5+
62 %
6 %
65 %
Breaks
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Breaks Per Match
9
2.09
11.09
Over 0.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5
100 %
94 %
100 %
Over 2.5
100 %
47 %
83 %
Over 3.5
100 %
47 %
83 %
Over 4.5
100 %
6 %
83 %
Over 5.5
100 %
0 %
56 %
Tie-breaks
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.33
0.3
0.32
Over 0.5
33 %
28 %
30 %
Over 1.5
0 %
3 %
1 %
Under 0.5
67 %
73 %
30 %
Under 1.5
100 %
98 %
1 %
Double faults
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
1.77
1.12
2.89
Over 0.5 (1+)
46 %
71 %
100 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
38 %
24 %
87 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
31 %
6 %
61 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
8 %
6 %
45 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
8 %
6 %
28 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
8 %
0 %
11 %
Net points
Kenta Miyoshi
Lucas Poullain
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
N/A
9.25
N/A
Over 4.5 (5+)
N/A
58 %
N/A
Over 5.5 (6+)
N/A
50 %
N/A
Over 6.5 (7+)
N/A
50 %
N/A
Over 7.5 (8+)
N/A
25 %
N/A
Over 8.5 (9+)
N/A
25 %
N/A
Over 9.5 (10+)
N/A
25 %
N/A
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P12.65
36.0% BetBoom
P21.49
64.0% BetBoom
Poullain L meet Miyoshi K on August 7, 2026 in the Stambul 2, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Poullain L 2-0-3, Miyoshi K 4-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Miyoshi K — 63%
Pure model vs market (2 · Miyoshi K): model 58% · market 62%Δ −4 ppmodel estimates below the market
63%2
1 · Poullain L37.0%
market38%
2 · Miyoshi K ✓ Pick63.0%
market62%
Model estimate: win Poullain L 37.0%, win Miyoshi K 63.0%. Model favourite — Miyoshi K.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Miyoshi K (odds1.48)Score 1:2confidence 63%
•Pulen L: forma VP (1)
•Mioshi K: forma VVVVV (5-0)
•liniya na pik P2 1.50→1.42 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Mioshi K: probability 63% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Poullain L - Miyoshi K August 7, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Miyoshi K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / 2 1.48
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.3%
2 books
137.8%
2 ✓ Pick62.2%
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.40↑ 2.65
Winner P21.50↓ 1.42
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Poullain L
38%
2.45
Miyoshi K
62%
1.49
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Match center
Start07.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market1 37.7% @ 2.45 / 2 62.3% @ 1.48
Form5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelMiyoshi K 63%
💹 MarketMiyoshi K 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Poullain L - Miyoshi K
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Poullain L36.5%43.8%market and model agree
Miyoshi K63.6%56.2%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.52).
Tennis math model
P1 / P237.0% / 63.0%
probabilities
Rating1,530 / 1,883
Poullain L / Miyoshi K
RD226 / 203
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,079-1,982 / 1,477-2,289
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.48
Fonbet · no value · model 63.0%
12.45
Fonbet · no value · model 37.0%
Total
Over 20.51.67
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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