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AI verdict

AI pick Gea A win probability ~55% best odds 15.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Gea A. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge International
28.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Gea A vs Basavareddy N — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge
US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge grass 28.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
28.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Gea A
Gea A
Rank #86 Elo 709
69Average Form
W W W W W W W W
Basavareddy N
Basavareddy N
Rank #163 Elo 348
70Good Form
W W W W L W W W
0:2 3:6 1:6
1 2 GP
Gea A 3 1 0
Basavareddy N 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: grass
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gea A — 55%

1 · Gea A54.6%
2 · Basavareddy N45.4%

Model estimate: win Gea A 54.6%, win Basavareddy N 45.4%. Model favourite — Gea A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Basavareddy N

Model confidence 94% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gea A - Basavareddy N August 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Basavareddy N.

Line favourite Fonbet: Basavareddy N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Gea A 54.6% / Basavareddy N 45.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 5 books · best price +752.3%
1 53.2%
2 46.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.70 ↑ 1.75
Winner 2 2.15 ↓ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Gea A
57%
15.00
Basavareddy N
43%
2.16
Total
Over 9.5
49%
1.85
Under 9.5
51%
1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#86 Rating #163
21 Age 21
1.80m Height (cm) 1.80m
72kg Weight (kg) 70kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Gea A Basavareddy N
Aces per match 5.28 4.10
Double faults per match 3.7 4.48
Breaks per match 2.7 1.64

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Arthur Gea
Rank:86 Elo: 709
W W W W W W W W
Nishesh Basavareddy
Rank:163 Elo: 348
W W W W L W W W
Elo favourite:Gea A (edge +361 Elo)

Hard

Arthur GeaNishesh Basavareddy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 90.5% 19 / 21 Matches 71.4% 10 / 14 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 78.4% 29 / 37 Matches 62.5% 15 / 24 Matches

Clay

Arthur GeaNishesh Basavareddy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches 73.3% 11 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 63.2% 12 / 19 Matches 73.3% 11 / 15 Matches

Grass

Arthur GeaNishesh Basavareddy
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 68.5% 37 / 54 Matches 69.7% 23 / 33 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 67.1% 47 / 70 Matches 65.2% 30 / 46 Matches
Current rank 86 163

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy
Prize money (career) $72,927 USD $131,617 USD
Rating 86 163
Age 21 21
Height 1.80m 1.80m
Weight 72kg 70kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy
Match Wins 69 % 70 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 74 % 72 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 40 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 43 % 42 %
Wins From Behind 32 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 87 % 82 %
Set 1 Win 65 % 64 %
Set 2 Win 65 % 61 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.87 9.82 9.85
Over 6.5 96 % 97 % 97 %
Over 7.5 91 % 86 % 89 %
Over 8.5 72 % 72 % 72 %
Over 9.5 47 % 41 % 44 %
Over 10.5 28 % 28 % 28 %
Over 11.5 28 % 28 % 28 %

Aces

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Aces Per Match 5.28 4.10 9.38
Most Aces in a match 70 % 28 % N/A
1+ 96 % 90 % 100 %
2+ 87 % 79 % 94 %
3+ 72 % 69 % 87 %
4+ 60 % 52 % 80 %
5+ 47 % 38 % 74 %

Breaks

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.7 1.64 4.34
Over 0.5 100 % 41 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 38 % 99 %
Over 2.5 36 % 38 % 97 %
Over 3.5 34 % 34 % 68 %
Over 4.5 4 % 0 % 49 %
Over 5.5 2 % 0 % 17 %

Tie-breaks

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.45 0.31 0.38
Over 0.5 40 % 31 % 36 %
Over 1.5 4 % 0 % 2 %
Under 0.5 60 % 69 % 36 %
Under 1.5 96 % 100 % 2 %

Double faults

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.7 4.48 8.18
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 85 % 83 % 97 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 72 % 66 % 91 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 43 % 55 % 84 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 28 % 45 % 74 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 21 % 34 % 63 %

Net points

Arthur Gea Nishesh Basavareddy Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.1 8.55 15.65
Over 4.5 (5+) 52 % 89 % 71 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 44 % 86 % 65 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 32 % 79 % 56 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 28 % 64 % 46 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 24 % 54 % 39 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 20 % 43 % 32 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.76 55.1% BetBoom
P2 2.16 44.9% BetBoom

Gea A face Basavareddi N in tennis, in US Open. Men. Qualifying Wild Card Challenge, on 28 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Gea A as the favourite at around 55%. The bookmaker consensus (5 books) implies about 54% for the same outcome.

Recent form reads: Gea A have 5 won and 0 lost of their last 5; Basavareddi N have 2 won and 2 lost of 4. Gea A arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Gea A 1979, Basavareddi N 1610, a gap of 369 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 369 Glicko rating points, the model's 55% for Gea A. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Gea, Arthur2
Nagal, Sumit0
Chidekh, Clement2
Coria, Federico0
Mikrut, Luka2
Sanchez Izquierdo, Nikolas0
Kouame, Moise1
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Moller, Elmer1
Neumayer, Lukas2
McCabe, James0
Squire, Henri1
Jorda Sanchis, David2
Kwon, Soonwoo0
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Justo, Guido Ivan0
Ilagan, Andre2
Boyer, Tristan1
Kym, Jerome2
Added, Dan0
Smith, Colton2
Pellegrino, Andrea1
Fearnley, Jacob2
Carballes Baena, Roberto0
Pavlovic, Luka2
Varillas, Juan Pablo1
Dedura-Palomero, Diego0
Ferreira Silva, Frederico2
Coppejans, Kimmer0
Rodionov, Jurij2
Droguet, Titouan1
Rincon, Daniel2
Lajal, Mark1
Lee, Jordan2
Den Ouden, Guy1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto2
Prado Angelo, Juan Carlos1
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Milavsky, Daniel0
Shick, Braden2
Tabur, Clement0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gill, Felix0
Martin Tiffon, Pol0
Gentzsch, Tom2
Samuel, Toby2
Maestrelli, Francesco1
Bueno, Gonzalo0
Harris, Billy2
Roncadelli, Franco0
Ymer, Elias2
Johnson, Spencer1
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Meligeni Alves, Felipe0
Smith, Keegan0
Galarneau, Alexis2
Brancaccio, Raul0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago2
Napolitano, Stefano0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Blanchet, Ugo0
Pinnington Jones, Jack2
Svajda, Trevor0
Skatov, Timofey2
Bailly, Gilles Arnaud0
Giustino, Lorenzo0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian2
Midon, Lautaro0
Gomez, Federico Agustin0
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Holmgren, August1
Schwaerzler, Joel2
Heide, Gustavo1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Noguchi, Rio1
Kolar, Zdenek0
Gojo, Borna2
Nardi, Luca0
Cina, Federico0
Echargui, Moez0
Dellien, Hugo2
Piros, Zsombor2
Alcala Gurri, Max0
Martinez, Pedro0
Glinka, Daniil2
Kasnikowski, Maks1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai2
Sakellaridis, Stefanos0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Mejia, Nicolas1
Draxl, Liam2
Daniel, Taro1
Johnson, Andrew2
Secord, Jack0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan2
Basilashvili, Nikoloz0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Feldbausch, Kilian0
Cecchinato, Marco2
Broady, Liam0
Bertola, Remy2
Moro Canas, Alejandro0
Wendelken, Harry2
Travaglia, Stefano1
Rocha, Henrique2
Mmoh, Michael0
Tomic, Bernard1
Harris, Lloyd2
Onclin, Gauthier0
Sachko, Vitaliy2
Bolt, Alex0
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Ofner, Sebastian1
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael2
Searle, Henry0
Clarke, Jay1
Sakamoto, Rei2
Djere, Laslo0
Muller, Alexandre2
Qualification round 2
Gea, Arthur2
Chidekh, Clement1
Mikrut, Luka0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Neumayer, Lukas0
Jorda Sanchis, David0
Lajovic, Dusan2
Gaston, Hugo2
Ilagan, Andre0
Kym, Jerome1
Smith, Colton2
Fearnley, Jacob2
Pavlovic, Luka1
Ferreira Silva, Frederico1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel2
Lee, Jordan1
Olivieri, Genaro Alberto0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro2
Shick, Braden0
Passaro, Francesco2
Gentzsch, Tom0
Samuel, Toby2
Harris, Billy1
Ymer, Elias0
Garin, Cristian2
Svrcina, Dalibor2
Galarneau, Alexis0
Seyboth Wild, Thiago0
McDonald, Mackenzie2
Virtanen, Otto2
Pinnington Jones, Jack1
Skatov, Timofey0
Dimitrov, Grigor2
Jacquet, Kyrian1
Dougaz, Aziz2
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Schwaerzler, Joel1
Bu, Yunchaokete2
Gojo, Borna0
Cina, Federico2
Dellien, Hugo1
Piros, Zsombor2
Glinka, Daniil1
Budkov Kjaer, Nicolai0
O'Connell, Christopher2
Draxl, Liam2
Johnson, Andrew0
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Hong, Seongchan0
Gaubas, Vilius2
Cecchinato, Marco0
Bertola, Remy1
Wendelken, Harry2
Rocha, Henrique1
Harris, Lloyd2
Sachko, Vitaliy1
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo2
Nishikori, Kei2
Antonius, Michael0
Sakamoto, Rei2
Muller, Alexandre0
Qualification Final
Gea, Arthur0
Basavareddy, Nishesh2
Wong, Coleman2
Lajovic, Dusan0
Gaston, Hugo2
Smith, Colton1
Fearnley, Jacob1
Rodionov, Jurij2
Rincon, Daniel0
Barrios Vera, Tomas2
Mochizuki, Shintaro0
Passaro, Francesco2
Samuel, Toby0
Garin, Cristian0
Svrcina, Dalibor2
McDonald, Mackenzie1
Virtanen, Otto0
Dimitrov, Grigor0
Dougaz, Aziz0
Guerrieri, Andrea2
Bu, Yunchaokete1
Cina, Federico2
Piros, Zsombor0
O'Connell, Christopher0
Draxl, Liam1
Schoolkate, Tristan2
Gaubas, Vilius1
Wendelken, Harry2
Harris, Lloyd2
Llamas Ruiz, Pablo0
Nishikori, Kei0
Sakamoto, Rei2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 28.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Gea A 55%
💹 Market Gea A 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Gea A - Basavareddy N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Gea A Basavareddy N Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 1 6 1:6
Metric Gea A Basavareddy N SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 0 0 final
Vinnery 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 54.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.597 / LogLoss 0.790
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.511 / LogLoss 0.704
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gea A 54.4% 54.1% market and model agree
Basavareddy N 45.6% 45.9% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko54.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 54.6% / 45.4% probabilities
Rating 1,979 / 1,610 Gea A / Basavareddi N
RD 197 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,585-2,373 / 1,167-2,054 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 45.4%
1 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 54.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3%
— 1.68 59.5%
— 1.65 60.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.50 66.7%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.28 78.1%
— 1.20 83.3%
— 1.05 95.2%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 2.12 47.2%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.60 62.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
12.00 8.3%
10.00 10.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 16.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 17.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 18.5 — 7.10 14.1%
Over 19.5 — 4.00 25.0%
Over 20.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 21.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Under 16.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Under 17.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Under 18.5 — 1.05 95.2%
Under 19.5 — 1.20 83.3%
Under 20.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Under 21.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-28 · Artur Khea 0:2 Nishesh Basavareddi
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.7 (Winline) · 2 2.2 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.68 2.2
Winline 1.7 2.15
Fonbet 1.68 2.2
Betcity 1.63 2.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

4 Eysy 4
0 Dvoynye oshibki 3
10 Vsego breyk-poyntov 9
0 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
57 Vyigrannye Points 70
27 Points na podache 47
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 30
24 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 39
26 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 35
14 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
13 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 20
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
4 Geymy na podache 8
4 Vyigrannye geymy 12
1 Maks. geymov podryad 7
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Gea A
W W W W W
2026-08-26 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Gea A Gea A 2:1 Chidekh C
2026-08-25 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Gea A Gea A 2:0 Nagal S
2026-08-02 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Gea A 2:0 Shapovalov D
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Wong C 0:2 Gea A
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A Cerundolo F 1:2 Gea A
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Basavareddy N
W W L L W
2026-08-26 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Mikrut L 0:2 Basavareddy N Basavareddy N
2026-08-25 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Kouame M 1:2 Basavareddy N Basavareddy N
2026-08-18 2026 Quebec City, Canada
Pellegrino A 2:1 Basavareddy N Basavareddy N
2026-05-27 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Basavareddy N 1:3 Michelsen A Basavareddy N
2026-05-24 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Fritz T 1:3 Basavareddy N Basavareddy N
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

More predictions

Basavareddi N – Schoolkate T 01.09 Cerundolo J M – Gea A 01.09 Shang Juncheng – Trungelliti M 31.08 Auger-Aliassime F – Hijikata R 31.08 Halys Q – Diaz Acosta F 31.08 Damm M – Tiafoe F 01.09

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gea A vs Basavareddy N?

By the PropickAI model, Basavareddy N is favoured — about 55% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Gea A vs Basavareddy N?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Basavareddy N. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Gea A vs Basavareddy N?

Live odds for Gea A vs Basavareddy N from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Gea A vs Basavareddy N start?

August 28, 2026.