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AI verdict

AI pick Wang Xinyu win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Wang Xinyu. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
30.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Arango E vs Wang Xinyu — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 30.08.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
30.08.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
Arango E
Arango E
Rank #41 Elo 1195
52Average Form
L W W L L W L L
Wang Xinyu
Wang Xinyu
Rank #84 Elo 868
36Bad Form
W L L W L W L L
-:-
Coverage: hard
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Wang Xinyu — 71%

1 · Arango E28.7%
market 28%
2 · Wang Xinyu ✓ Pick71.3%
market 72%

Model estimate: win Arango E 28.7%, win Wang Xinyu 71.3%. Model favourite — Wang Xinyu.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Wang Xinyu

Model confidence 73% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Wang Xinyu (odds1.31) Score 0:2 confidence 71%
  • • Arango E: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Van Sinyuy: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.40→1.30 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Van Sinyuy: probability 71% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arango E - Wang Xinyu August 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wang Xinyu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 4 books
1 28.3%
2 ✓ Pick 71.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 3.00 ↑ 3.55
Winner P2 1.40 ↓ 1.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Arango E
28%
3.55
Wang Xinyu
72%
1.33
Total
Over 20.5
51%
1.90
Under 20.5
49%
1.98

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Arango E Wang Xinyu
Win % 48.1% 42.9%
Hard % 48.3% 42.9%
Clay % 49.2% 0%
Grass % 41.7% 0%
Deciding set % 50% 100%
Tie-breaks % 42.6% 0%
Titles (total) 1 0
Last 10 LLWWWLLLWL LLWWWLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#41 Rating #84
24 Age 25
1.82m Height (cm) 1.72m
- Weight (kg) -
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Arango E Wang Xinyu
Aces per match 3.38 1.00
Double faults per match 3.3 2.72
Breaks per match 2.91 4.86

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Xinyu Wang
Rank:41 Elo: 1195
L W W L L W L L
Emiliana Arango
Rank:84 Elo: 868
W L L W L W L L
Elo favourite:Wang Xinyu (edge +327 Elo)

Hard

Xinyu WangEmiliana Arango
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 54.2% 13 / 24 Matches 28.6% 4 / 14 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 48.5% 16 / 33 Matches 38.2% 13 / 34 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.71 0.79
Most Aces in a match 58 % 29 %

Clay

Xinyu WangEmiliana Arango
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 45.5% 5 / 11 Matches 41.7% 5 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.5% 5 / 11 Matches 41.7% 5 / 12 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.55 1.00
Most Aces in a match 18 % 33 %

Grass

Xinyu WangEmiliana Arango
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.80 1.50
Most Aces in a match 80 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 52.4% 22 / 42 Matches 36.4% 12 / 33 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 49.0% 25 / 51 Matches 39.6% 21 / 53 Matches
Current rank 41 84

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango
Prize money (career) $3,559,254 USD $546,240 USD
Rating 41 84
Age 24 25
Height 1.82m 1.72m
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango
Match Wins 52 % 36 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 53 % 38 %
Wins in Straight Sets 31 % 21 %
Wins From Behind 26 % 16 %
Won At Least 1 Set 64 % 61 %
Set 1 Win 40 % 36 %
Set 2 Win 56 % 45 %
Set 3 Win 64 % 38 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Feb 9 2026 Doha WTA (Hard) Xinyu Wang 2 – 0 Emiliana Arango

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.31 9.52 9.42
Over 6.5 98 % 100 % 99 %
Over 7.5 85 % 88 % 87 %
Over 8.5 65 % 78 % 72 %
Over 9.5 33 % 34 % 34 %
Over 10.5 18 % 22 % 20 %
Over 11.5 18 % 22 % 20 %

Aces

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Aces Per Match 3.38 1.00 4.38
Most Aces in a match 50 % 34 % N/A
1+ 93 % 53 % 91 %
2+ 68 % 31 % 75 %
3+ 50 % 9 % 66 %
4+ 33 % 6 % 48 %
5+ 28 % 0 % 40 %

Breaks

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.91 4.86 7.77
Over 0.5 98 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 45 % 100 % 99 %
Over 2.5 43 % 91 % 99 %
Over 3.5 43 % 53 % 98 %
Over 4.5 13 % 53 % 98 %
Over 5.5 8 % 53 % 69 %

Tie-breaks

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.15 0.25 0.2
Over 0.5 15 % 22 % 18 %
Over 1.5 0 % 3 % 2 %
Under 0.5 85 % 78 % 18 %
Under 1.5 100 % 97 % 2 %

Double faults

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.3 2.72 6.02
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 91 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 80 % 75 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 63 % 53 % 91 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 43 % 25 % 81 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 25 % 16 % 69 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 13 % 62 %

Net points

Xinyu Wang Emiliana Arango Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.19 5.83 13.02
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 33 % 54 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 50 % 0 % 25 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 50 % 0 % 25 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 38 % 0 % 19 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 0 % 13 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 25 % 0 % 13 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.55 27.3% BetBoom
P2 1.33 72.8% BetBoom

Arango E go head-to-head with Wang Xinyu in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 30 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Wang Xinyu: roughly 71% to win. The bookmaker consensus (4 books) implies about 72% for the same outcome.

Recent form reads: Arango E have 2 won and 3 lost of their last 5; Wang Xinyu have 2 won and 3 lost of 5. Glicko ratings: Arango E 1495, Wang Xinyu 1747, a gap of 252 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Wang Xinyu (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 252 Glicko rating points, the model's 71% for Wang Xinyu. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Match center
Start 30.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 26.8% @ 3.55 / 2 73.2% @ 1.30
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Wang Xinyu 71%
💹 Market Wang Xinyu 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Arango E - Wang Xinyu

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arango E 28.3% 37.2%
Wang Xinyu 71.7% 62.8% model more cautious than market

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko28.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.47).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.7% / 71.3% probabilities
Rating 1,495 / 1,747 Arango E / Wang Xinyu
RD 225 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,046-1,944 / 1,389-2,105 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
1 3.55 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.25 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
3.30 30.3% —
3.00 33.3% —
2.70 37.0% —
2.30 43.5% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.30 76.9% —
3.55 28.2% —
1.30 76.9% —
1.35 74.1% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.85 54.1% —
2.30 43.5% —
3.20 31.3% —
1.25 80.0% —
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.93 51.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
5.30 18.9%
1.12 89.3%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 — 3.25 30.8%
Over 10.5 — 3.85 26.0%
Over 18.5 1.45 69.0% —
Over 19.5 1.65 60.6% —
Over 20.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 21.5 2.08 48.1% —
Over 22.5 2.40 41.7% —
Over 23.5 2.60 38.5% —
Over 24.5 2.80 35.7% —
Over 25.5 3.15 31.8% —
Under 18.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 19.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 21.5 1.67 59.9% —
Under 22.5 1.50 66.7% —
Under 23.5 1.43 69.9% —
Under 24.5 1.38 72.5% —
Under 25.5 1.30 76.9% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Arango E
L L W W W
2026-08-22 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying
Arango E Udvardy P 2:1 Arango E
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Arango E Swiatek I 2:0 Arango E
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Arango E Arango E 2:0 Williams V
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Arango E Arango E 2:1 Podoroska N
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Arango E Arango E 2:1 Sasnovich A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Wang Xinyu
L W W L L
2026-08-18 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Sabalenka A 2:0 Wang Xinyu Wang Xinyu
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Wang Xinyu 2:1 Vekic D Wang Xinyu
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Wang Xinyu 2:0 Vandewinkel H Wang Xinyu
2026-08-04 2026 Toronto, Canada
Wang Xinyu 1:2 Kasatkina D Wang Xinyu
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Wang Xinyu 0:2 Samsonova L Wang Xinyu
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Arango E vs Wang Xinyu?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Wang Xinyu. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Arango E vs Wang Xinyu?

Live odds for Arango E vs Wang Xinyu from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Arango E vs Wang Xinyu start?

August 30, 2026.