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AI verdict

AI pick Jovic I win probability ~73% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Jovic I. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
01.09.2026 22:20 UTC

Jovic I vs Frech M — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 01.09.2026 22:20 UTC Not started
01.09.2026 22:20 UTC Not started
Jovic I
Jovic I
Rank #14 Elo 2671
66Average Form
L W L W L W W W
Frech M
Frech M
Rank #41 Elo 1240
45Struggling Form
W L W W W L W L
-:-
Coverage: hard
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jovic I — 73%

1 · Jovic I ✓ Pick73.1%
market 74%
2 · Frech M26.9%
market 26%

Model estimate: win Jovic I 73.1%, win Frech M 26.9%. Model favourite — Jovic I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Jovic I

Model confidence 73% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jovic I (odds1.28) Score 2:0 confidence 74%
  • • Yovich I: forma PVPV (2)
  • • Frekh M: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.27→1.30 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Yovich I: probability 74% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jovic I - Frech M September 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jovic I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 5 books · best price +2.4%
1 ✓ Pick 73.6%
2 26.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.27 ↑ 1.30
Winner P2 3.75 ↓ 3.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Jovic I
74%
1.32
Frech M
26%
3.75
Total
Over 15.5
50%
1.86
Under 15.5
50%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Jovic I Frech M
Win % 70.4% 47.2%
Hard % 67% 49.5%
Clay % 70.7% 45.5%
Grass % 82.4% 39.5%
Deciding set % 60.4% 49.2%
Tie-breaks % 47.1% 45%
Titles (total) 6 1
Last 10 LWLWLWWWLW LWWLWLWLLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#14 Rating #41
- Age 28
- Height (cm) 1.71m
- Weight (kg) 58kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Jovic I Frech M
Aces per match 2.30 3.22
Double faults per match 2.33 2.41
Breaks per match 2.34 4.97

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Iva Jovic
Rank:14 Elo: 2671
L W L W L W W W
Magdalena Frech
Rank:41 Elo: 1240
W L W W W L W L
Elo favourite:Jovic I (edge +1431 Elo)

Hard

Iva JovicMagdalena Frech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches 53.9% 14 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 63.6% 28 / 44 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.23 3.31
Most Aces in a match 35 % 46 %

Clay

Iva JovicMagdalena Frech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 61.5% 8 / 13 Matches 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.5% 8 / 13 Matches 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.83 2.00
Most Aces in a match 42 % 43 %

Grass

Iva JovicMagdalena Frech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 6 / 8 Matches 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 75.0% 6 / 8 Matches 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.75 4.75
Most Aces in a match 25 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 66.0% 31 / 47 Matches 44.7% 17 / 38 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.6% 42 / 65 Matches 46.8% 22 / 47 Matches
Current rank 14 41

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech
Prize money (career) $20,187 USD $2,945,916 USD
Rating 14 41
Age — 28
Height — 1.71m
Weight — 58kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech
Match Wins 66 % 45 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 66 % 46 %
Wins in Straight Sets 51 % 32 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 5 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 72 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 62 % 45 %
Set 3 Win 47 % 36 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.45 9.79 9.62
Over 6.5 94 % 95 % 95 %
Over 7.5 85 % 86 % 86 %
Over 8.5 68 % 70 % 69 %
Over 9.5 47 % 51 % 49 %
Over 10.5 19 % 27 % 23 %
Over 11.5 19 % 27 % 23 %

Aces

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Aces Per Match 2.30 3.22 5.52
Most Aces in a match 35 % 46 % N/A
1+ 89 % 86 % 94 %
2+ 63 % 65 % 94 %
3+ 43 % 57 % 83 %
4+ 17 % 41 % 70 %
5+ 11 % 24 % 56 %

Breaks

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.34 4.97 7.31
Over 0.5 57 % 97 % 100 %
Over 1.5 57 % 95 % 100 %
Over 2.5 22 % 92 % 99 %
Over 3.5 20 % 84 % 76 %
Over 4.5 17 % 43 % 75 %
Over 5.5 7 % 41 % 53 %

Tie-breaks

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.28 0.35 0.31
Over 0.5 21 % 30 % 26 %
Over 1.5 6 % 5 % 6 %
Under 0.5 79 % 70 % 26 %
Under 1.5 94 % 95 % 6 %

Double faults

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.33 2.41 4.74
Over 0.5 (1+) 91 % 89 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 67 % 59 % 93 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 30 % 41 % 91 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 22 % 30 % 81 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 14 % 67 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 8 % 49 %

Net points

Iva Jovic Magdalena Frech Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.5 7.8 15.3
Over 4.5 (5+) 91 % 60 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 82 % 60 % 71 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 64 % 60 % 62 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 55 % 60 % 58 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 45 % 60 % 53 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 36 % 20 % 28 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.32 74.0% BetBoom
P2 3.75 26.1% BetBoom

Jovic I face Frech M in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 1 September 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Jovic I: roughly 73% to win. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 74%.

Recent form reads: Jovic I have 2 won and 2 lost of their last 4; Frech M have 2 won and 3 lost of 5. On the Glicko scale it is 1762 for Jovic I against 1626 for Frech M - a gap of 136 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. That is a 1-point gap to the market. On a hit-rate basis the steadier pick tilts to a covered market on Jovic I - double chance looks calmer than a clean win. Key markers: an edge of 136 Glicko rating points, the model's 73% for Jovic I. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Kudermetova, Polina0
Fruhvirtova, Linda2
Branstine, Carson2
Ngounoue, Clervie0
Montgomery, Robin2
Cross, Kayla0
Minnen, Greet0
Vandromme, Jeline2
Uchijima, Moyuka2
Hercog, Polona0
Havlickova, Lucie2
Yaneva, Elizara0
Preston, Janae0
Hibino, Nao2
Siskova, Anna2
Noha Akugue, Noma1
Jones, Francesca2
Brancaccio, Nuria0
Osuigwe, Whitney0
Barthel, Mona2
Tubello, Alice1
Hon, Priscilla2
Garland, Joanna2
Romero Gormaz, Leyre1
Semenistaja, Darja2
Kinoshita, Hayu0
Sobolieva, Anastasiia1
Shubladze, Alexandra2
Ku, Yeon Woo2
Sharma, Astra0
Hunter, Storm2
Inglis, Maddison0
Charaeva, Alina0
Bandecchi, Susan2
Hruncakova, Viktoria2
Riera, Julia0
Rus, Arantxa2
Kostovic, Teodora1
Lamens, Suzan2
Jones, Emerson1
Liu, Claire1
Watson, Heather2
Fita Boluda, Angela2
Zhu, Lin0
Mandlik, Elizabeth0
Penickova, Kristina2
Hazelitt, Jordyn1
Dart, Harriet2
Bronzetti, Lucia0
Giovannini, Luisina0
Iatcenko, Polina2
Struplova, Julie0
Hontama, Mai2
Gjorcheska, Lina0
Avanesyan, Elina0
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2
Kalieva, Elvina2
Mladenovic, Kristina1
Costoulas, Sofia2
Ruggeri, Jennifer0
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Carle, Maria0
Galfi, Dalma0
Sasnovich, Aliaksandra2
Day, Kayla0
Pareja, Julieta2
Masarova, Rebeka1
Shymanovich, Iryna2
Brengle, Madison2
Gasanova, Anastasia0
Aksu, Ayla0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Samson, Laura1
Zidansek, Tamara2
Burrage, Jodie0
Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar2
Vedder, Eva0
Andreescu, Bianca2
Dolehide, Caroline1
Podrez, Veronika2
Salkova, Dominika2
Urhobo, Akasha1
Knutson, Gabriela2
Lepchenko, Varvara0
Pigossi, Laura0
Papamichail, Despina2
Gorgodze, Ekaterine2
Kawa, Katarzyna1
Jimenez Kasintseva, Victoria0
Jorge, Francisca2
Ristic, Mia2
Akli, Ayana1
Broadus, Savannah0
Grant, Tyra Caterina2
Ortenzi, Jazmin0
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue2
Guo, Hanyu0
Avdeeva, Julia2
Sebov, Katherine0
Swan, Katie2
Scott, Katrina0
Tan, Harmony0
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
You, Xiaodi0
Burel, Clara2
Ma, Yexin0
Pridankina, Elena2
Falei, Aliona0
Marino, Rebecca2
Ferro, Fiona0
Sramkova, Rebecca0
Ibragimova, Alevtina2
Andreeva, Erika0
Bolkvadze, Mariam2
Koevermans, Anouk2
Monnet, Carole0
Klimovicova, Linda2
Pigato, Lisa0
Liutova, Kristina2
Prozorova, Tatiana1
Radivojevic, Lola2
Rinaldo Persson, Kajsa0
Kubka, Martyna2
Penickova, Annika1
Astakhova, Darya1
Bassols Ribera, Marina2
Qualification round 2
Fruhvirtova, Linda0
Branstine, Carson2
Montgomery, Robin2
Vandromme, Jeline0
Uchijima, Moyuka1
Havlickova, Lucie2
Hibino, Nao2
Siskova, Anna0
Jones, Francesca2
Barthel, Mona1
Hon, Priscilla0
Garland, Joanna2
Semenistaja, Darja2
Shubladze, Alexandra0
Ku, Yeon Woo1
Hunter, Storm2
Bandecchi, Susan2
Hruncakova, Viktoria0
Rus, Arantxa2
Lamens, Suzan0
Watson, Heather2
Fita Boluda, Angela1
Penickova, Kristina1
Dart, Harriet2
Bronzetti, Lucia1
Iatcenko, Polina2
Hontama, Mai1
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2
Kalieva, Elvina2
Costoulas, Sofia1
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Sasnovich, Aliaksandra1
Pareja, Julieta2
Shymanovich, Iryna0
Brengle, Madison0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Zidansek, Tamara2
Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar0
Andreescu, Bianca2
Podrez, Veronika0
Salkova, Dominika0
Knutson, Gabriela2
Papamichail, Despina0
Gorgodze, Ekaterine2
Jorge, Francisca0
Ristic, Mia2
Grant, Tyra Caterina1
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue2
Avdeeva, Julia0
Swan, Katie1
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
Burel, Clara0
Pridankina, Elena2
Marino, Rebecca0
Ibragimova, Alevtina0
Bolkvadze, Mariam2
Koevermans, Anouk2
Klimovicova, Linda0
Liutova, Kristina2
Radivojevic, Lola1
Kubka, Martyna2
Bassols Ribera, Marina0
Qualification Final
Branstine, Carson1
Montgomery, Robin2
Havlickova, Lucie2
Hibino, Nao0
Jones, Francesca2
Garland, Joanna0
Semenistaja, Darja0
Hunter, Storm2
Bandecchi, Susan1
Rus, Arantxa2
Watson, Heather1
Dart, Harriet2
Iatcenko, Polina2
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea0
Kalieva, Elvina2
Valdmannova, Vendula1
Pareja, Julieta0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Zidansek, Tamara2
Andreescu, Bianca1
Knutson, Gabriela2
Gorgodze, Ekaterine0
Ristic, Mia0
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue1
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
Pridankina, Elena1
Bolkvadze, Mariam0
Koevermans, Anouk2
Liutova, Kristina2
Kubka, Martyna0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 01.09.2026 22:20 UTC
Market 1 73.5% @ 1.30 / 2 26.5% @ 3.60
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Jovic I 73%
💹 Market Jovic I 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Jovic I - Frech M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jovic I 73.6% 69.1% market and model agree
Frech M 26.4% 30.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko73.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.1% / 26.9% probabilities
Rating 1,762 / 1,626 Jovic I / Frech M
RD 192 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,377-2,147 / 1,224-2,029 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 Fonbet · no value · model 26.9%
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 73.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 4.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.25 80.0% —
1.28 78.1% —
1.33 75.2% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.52 65.8% —
1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
2.20 45.5% —
3.05 32.8% —
3.60 27.8% —
— 1.95 51.3%
3.30 30.3% —
3.05 32.8% —
2.75 36.4% —
2.35 42.6% —
1.95 51.3% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.33 75.2% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.11 90.1%
1.75 57.1%
2.02 49.5%
5.50 18.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 19.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 1.97 50.8%
Over 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 23.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 24.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 25.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 17.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 21.5 1.63 61.4%
Under 22.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 23.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 24.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 25.5 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Jovic I
L W L W L
2026-08-19 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Jovic I Bouzkova M 2:0 Jovic I
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Jovic I Korpatsch T 0:2 Jovic I
2026-08-07 2026 Toronto, Canada
Jovic I Jovic I 0:2 Korneeva A
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Jovic I Jovic I 2:0 Linette M
2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Jovic I Pegula J 2:1 Jovic I
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Frech M
L W W L W
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Frech M 0:2 Rybakina E Frech M
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Ostapenko J 0:2 Frech M Frech M
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Ruzic A 0:2 Frech M Frech M
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Pegula J 2:1 Frech M Frech M
2026-08-02 2026 Toronto, Canada
Frech M 2:0 Jeanjean L Frech M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Jovic I vs Frech M?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Jovic I. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Jovic I vs Frech M?

Live odds for Jovic I vs Frech M from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Jovic I vs Frech M start?

September 1, 2026.