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AI verdict

AI pick Lys E win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.52

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lys E. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
01.09.2026 15:00 UTC

Knutson G A vs Lys E — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 01.09.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
01.09.2026 15:00 UTC Not started
Knutson G A
Knutson G A
Rank #98 Elo 777
26Very Bad Form
L L W L L L L W
Lys E
Lys E
Rank #184 Elo 421
52Average Form
L L L L W L W W
-:-
Coverage: hard
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Lys E — 62%

1 · Knutson G A37.6%
market 37%
2 · Lys E ✓ Pick62.4%
market 63%

Model estimate: win Knutson G A 37.6%, win Lys E 62.4%. Model favourite — Lys E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Knutson G A - Lys E September 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lys E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 6 books · best price +1.7%
1 36.7%
2 ✓ Pick 63.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 ↑ 2.55
Winner P2 1.65 ↓ 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Knutson G A
37%
2.65
Lys E
63%
1.52
Total
Over 21.5
49%
2.00
Under 21.5
51%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Knutson G A Lys E
Win % 60.6% 57.5%
Hard % 61.5% 61.8%
Clay % 57.1% 55%
Grass % 55% 42.1%
Deciding set % 56.1% 53.7%
Tie-breaks % 42% 53.8%
Titles (total) 6 0
Last 10 WWWLWWWWLW LLWLLLLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#98 Rating #184
24 Age 29
1.65m Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Knutson G A Lys E
Aces per match 1.19 3.83
Double faults per match 4.81 4.52
Breaks per match 5.5 4.26

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Eva Lys
Rank:98 Elo: 777
L L W L L L L W
Gabriela Knutson
Rank:184 Elo: 421
L L L L W L W W
Elo favourite:Lys E (edge +356 Elo)

Hard

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches 53.3% 16 / 30 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 56.5% 13 / 23 Matches 53.1% 26 / 49 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.83 3.30
Most Aces in a match 33 % 70 %

Clay

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 33.3% 3 / 9 Matches 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.50 4.50
Most Aces in a match 0 % 75 %

Grass

Eva LysGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.00 5.40
Most Aces in a match 0 % 100 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
H2H wins 1 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 26.3% 5 / 19 Matches 52.2% 24 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.2% 17 / 36 Matches 50.8% 34 / 67 Matches
Current rank 98 184

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
Prize money (career) $793,578 USD $153,458 USD
Rating 98 184
Age 24 29
Height 1.65m —

Win percentage (match / set)

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson
Match Wins 26 % 52 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 24 % 53 %
Wins in Straight Sets 11 % 41 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 8 %
Won At Least 1 Set 63 % 67 %
Set 1 Win 42 % 57 %
Set 2 Win 32 % 52 %
Set 3 Win 30 % 42 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Aug 20 2024 US Open WTA (Hard) Eva Lys 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.58 9.11 9.35
Over 6.5 100 % 96 % 98 %
Over 7.5 82 % 82 % 82 %
Over 8.5 65 % 58 % 62 %
Over 9.5 41 % 38 % 40 %
Over 10.5 24 % 16 % 20 %
Over 11.5 24 % 16 % 20 %

Aces

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Aces Per Match 1.19 3.83 5.02
Most Aces in a match 13 % 76 % N/A
1+ 38 % 100 % 97 %
2+ 25 % 93 % 96 %
3+ 25 % 69 % 86 %
4+ 19 % 55 % 70 %
5+ 13 % 31 % 56 %

Breaks

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.5 4.26 9.76
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 4.5 50 % 45 % 100 %
Over 5.5 50 % 3 % 99 %

Tie-breaks

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.12 0.18 0.15
Over 0.5 12 % 18 % 15 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 88 % 82 % 15 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.81 4.52 9.33
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 93 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % 90 % 99 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 69 % 83 % 97 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 63 % 69 % 87 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 44 % 55 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 31 % 34 % 61 %

Net points

Eva Lys Gabriela Knutson Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 2.5 6.42 8.92
Over 4.5 (5+) 25 % 67 % 46 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 50 % 25 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 33 % 17 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 33 % 17 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.65 36.3% BetBoom
P2 1.51 63.7% BetBoom

Knutson G A go head-to-head with Lys E in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 1 September 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Lys E the favourite, with a win probability of about 62%. Sportsbook prices (6 books) put that result at roughly 63%.

Recent form reads: Knutson G A have 4 won and 1 lost of their last 5; Lys E have 0 won and 3 lost of 3. Knutson G A arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1837 for Knutson G A against 1385 for Lys E - a gap of 452 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 452 Glicko rating points, the model's 62% for Lys E. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Kudermetova, Polina0
Fruhvirtova, Linda2
Branstine, Carson2
Ngounoue, Clervie0
Montgomery, Robin2
Cross, Kayla0
Minnen, Greet0
Vandromme, Jeline2
Uchijima, Moyuka2
Hercog, Polona0
Havlickova, Lucie2
Yaneva, Elizara0
Preston, Janae0
Hibino, Nao2
Siskova, Anna2
Noha Akugue, Noma1
Jones, Francesca2
Brancaccio, Nuria0
Osuigwe, Whitney0
Barthel, Mona2
Tubello, Alice1
Hon, Priscilla2
Garland, Joanna2
Romero Gormaz, Leyre1
Semenistaja, Darja2
Kinoshita, Hayu0
Sobolieva, Anastasiia1
Shubladze, Alexandra2
Ku, Yeon Woo2
Sharma, Astra0
Hunter, Storm2
Inglis, Maddison0
Charaeva, Alina0
Bandecchi, Susan2
Hruncakova, Viktoria2
Riera, Julia0
Rus, Arantxa2
Kostovic, Teodora1
Lamens, Suzan2
Jones, Emerson1
Liu, Claire1
Watson, Heather2
Fita Boluda, Angela2
Zhu, Lin0
Mandlik, Elizabeth0
Penickova, Kristina2
Hazelitt, Jordyn1
Dart, Harriet2
Bronzetti, Lucia0
Giovannini, Luisina0
Iatcenko, Polina2
Struplova, Julie0
Hontama, Mai2
Gjorcheska, Lina0
Avanesyan, Elina0
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2
Kalieva, Elvina2
Mladenovic, Kristina1
Costoulas, Sofia2
Ruggeri, Jennifer0
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Carle, Maria0
Galfi, Dalma0
Sasnovich, Aliaksandra2
Day, Kayla0
Pareja, Julieta2
Masarova, Rebeka1
Shymanovich, Iryna2
Brengle, Madison2
Gasanova, Anastasia0
Aksu, Ayla0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Samson, Laura1
Zidansek, Tamara2
Burrage, Jodie0
Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar2
Vedder, Eva0
Andreescu, Bianca2
Dolehide, Caroline1
Podrez, Veronika2
Salkova, Dominika2
Urhobo, Akasha1
Knutson, Gabriela2
Lepchenko, Varvara0
Pigossi, Laura0
Papamichail, Despina2
Gorgodze, Ekaterine2
Kawa, Katarzyna1
Jimenez Kasintseva, Victoria0
Jorge, Francisca2
Ristic, Mia2
Akli, Ayana1
Broadus, Savannah0
Grant, Tyra Caterina2
Ortenzi, Jazmin0
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue2
Guo, Hanyu0
Avdeeva, Julia2
Sebov, Katherine0
Swan, Katie2
Scott, Katrina0
Tan, Harmony0
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
You, Xiaodi0
Burel, Clara2
Ma, Yexin0
Pridankina, Elena2
Falei, Aliona0
Marino, Rebecca2
Ferro, Fiona0
Sramkova, Rebecca0
Ibragimova, Alevtina2
Andreeva, Erika0
Bolkvadze, Mariam2
Koevermans, Anouk2
Monnet, Carole0
Klimovicova, Linda2
Pigato, Lisa0
Liutova, Kristina2
Prozorova, Tatiana1
Radivojevic, Lola2
Rinaldo Persson, Kajsa0
Kubka, Martyna2
Penickova, Annika1
Astakhova, Darya1
Bassols Ribera, Marina2
Qualification round 2
Fruhvirtova, Linda0
Branstine, Carson2
Montgomery, Robin2
Vandromme, Jeline0
Uchijima, Moyuka1
Havlickova, Lucie2
Hibino, Nao2
Siskova, Anna0
Jones, Francesca2
Barthel, Mona1
Hon, Priscilla0
Garland, Joanna2
Semenistaja, Darja2
Shubladze, Alexandra0
Ku, Yeon Woo1
Hunter, Storm2
Bandecchi, Susan2
Hruncakova, Viktoria0
Rus, Arantxa2
Lamens, Suzan0
Watson, Heather2
Fita Boluda, Angela1
Penickova, Kristina1
Dart, Harriet2
Bronzetti, Lucia1
Iatcenko, Polina2
Hontama, Mai1
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2
Kalieva, Elvina2
Costoulas, Sofia1
Valdmannova, Vendula2
Sasnovich, Aliaksandra1
Pareja, Julieta2
Shymanovich, Iryna0
Brengle, Madison0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Zidansek, Tamara2
Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar0
Andreescu, Bianca2
Podrez, Veronika0
Salkova, Dominika0
Knutson, Gabriela2
Papamichail, Despina0
Gorgodze, Ekaterine2
Jorge, Francisca0
Ristic, Mia2
Grant, Tyra Caterina1
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue2
Avdeeva, Julia0
Swan, Katie1
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
Burel, Clara0
Pridankina, Elena2
Marino, Rebecca0
Ibragimova, Alevtina0
Bolkvadze, Mariam2
Koevermans, Anouk2
Klimovicova, Linda0
Liutova, Kristina2
Radivojevic, Lola1
Kubka, Martyna2
Bassols Ribera, Marina0
Qualification Final
Branstine, Carson1
Montgomery, Robin2
Havlickova, Lucie2
Hibino, Nao0
Jones, Francesca2
Garland, Joanna0
Semenistaja, Darja0
Hunter, Storm2
Bandecchi, Susan1
Rus, Arantxa2
Watson, Heather1
Dart, Harriet2
Iatcenko, Polina2
Lazaro Garcia, Andrea0
Kalieva, Elvina2
Valdmannova, Vendula1
Pareja, Julieta0
Stefanini, Lucrezia2
Zidansek, Tamara2
Andreescu, Bianca1
Knutson, Gabriela2
Gorgodze, Ekaterine0
Ristic, Mia0
Sakatsume, Himeno2
Yuan, Yue1
Stoiana, Mary2
Zheng, Qinwen2
Pridankina, Elena1
Bolkvadze, Mariam0
Koevermans, Anouk2
Liutova, Kristina2
Kubka, Martyna0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 01.09.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 37.3% @ 2.55 / 2 62.7% @ 1.52
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Lys E 62%
💹 Market Lys E 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Knutson G A - Lys E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Knutson G A 36.7% 42.3% market and model agree
Lys E 63.3% 57.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko37.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.54).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.6% / 62.4% probabilities
Rating 1,837 / 1,385 Knutson G A / Lys E
RD 220 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,397-2,278 / 943-1,828 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 62.4%
1 2.55 Fonbet · no value · model 37.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.30 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% —
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.58 63.3%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.40 71.4%
1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.30 76.9%
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
4.05 24.7%
1.22 82.0%
2.18 45.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 19.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0% 1.84 54.4% 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Over 24.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Over 26.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Under 18.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 20.5 1.99 50.3% 1.98 50.5% —
Under 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.96 51.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2024-08-20 · Gabriela Knutson 0:2 Eva Lis
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Pari) · 2 1.5 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.7 1.45
Winline 2.55 1.5
Betcity 2.65 1.49
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Knutson G A
W W W L W
2026-08-27 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Knutson G A 2:0 Gorgodze E
2026-08-26 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Salkova D 0:2 Knutson G A
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A Knutson G A 2:0 Lepchenko V
2026-08-08 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Knutson G A Lee Carol Young Suh 2:0 Knutson G A
2026-08-07 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Knutson G A Yaneva E 0:2 Knutson G A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Lys E
L L W D L
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Kenin S 2:1 Lys E Lys E
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lys E 1:2 Blinkova A Lys E
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lys E 2:1 Kawa K Lys E
2026-08-03 2026 Toronto, Canada
Udvardy P 1:1 Lys E Lys E
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Shnaider D 2:0 Lys E Lys E
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Knutson G A vs Lys E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lys E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Knutson G A vs Lys E?

Live odds for Knutson G A vs Lys E from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Knutson G A vs Lys E start?

September 1, 2026.