What does PropickAI predict for Timofeeva M vs Mertens E?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mertens E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Timofeeva M vs Mertens E?

Live odds for Timofeeva M vs Mertens E from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Mertens E win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mertens E. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women International

03.09.2026 15:00 UTC

Timofeeva M vs Mertens E — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis US Open. Women

US Open. Women hard 03.09.2026 15:00 UTC Not started

03.09.2026 15:00 UTC Not started

Timofeeva M

W L W W W

Mertens E

W W L W W

-:-

Coverage: hard

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mertens E — 71%

1 · Timofeeva M28.5%

market 27%

2 · Mertens E ✓ Pick71.5%

market 73%

Model estimate: win Timofeeva M 28.5%, win Mertens E 71.5%. Model favourite — Mertens E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Mertens E

Model confidence 73% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Timofeeva M - Mertens E September 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mertens E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / 2 1.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 7 books · best price +2.3%

1 27.1%

2 ✓ Pick 72.9%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner P1 3.45 ↓ 3.40

Winner P2 1.30 ↑ 1.32

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Timofeeva M

27%

3.90

Mertens E

73%

1.33

Total

Over 20.5

50%

1.90

Under 20.5

50%

1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Odds

P1 3.45 28.0% BetBoom

P2 1.34 72.0% BetBoom

Timofeeva M take on Mertens E in tennis, in US Open. Women, on 3 September 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Mertens E as the favourite at around 71%. Sportsbook prices (3 books) put that result at roughly 72%.

Recent form reads: Timofeeva M have 3 won and 2 lost of their last 5; Mertens E have 3 won and 2 lost of 5. Timofeeva M arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Timofeeva M 1601, Mertens E 1768, a gap of 167 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. That is a 1-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on Mertens E (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 167 Glicko rating points, the model's 71% for Mertens E. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1

1.0Sets on average2.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 3.0 (sets)

Team form

Timofeeva M

7-3WWLLWLWWWW

sets for 1.5sets against 0.9

Mertens E

6-4WLWLLWWWLW

sets for 1.4sets against 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1

Kudermetova, Polina0

Fruhvirtova, Linda2

Branstine, Carson2

Ngounoue, Clervie0

Montgomery, Robin2

Cross, Kayla0

Minnen, Greet0

Vandromme, Jeline2

Uchijima, Moyuka2

Hercog, Polona0

Havlickova, Lucie2

Yaneva, Elizara0

Preston, Janae0

Hibino, Nao2

Siskova, Anna2

Noha Akugue, Noma1

Jones, Francesca2

Brancaccio, Nuria0

Osuigwe, Whitney0

Barthel, Mona2

Tubello, Alice1

Hon, Priscilla2

Garland, Joanna2

Romero Gormaz, Leyre1

Semenistaja, Darja2

Kinoshita, Hayu0

Sobolieva, Anastasiia1

Shubladze, Alexandra2

Ku, Yeon Woo2

Sharma, Astra0

Hunter, Storm2

Inglis, Maddison0

Charaeva, Alina0

Bandecchi, Susan2

Hruncakova, Viktoria2

Riera, Julia0

Rus, Arantxa2

Kostovic, Teodora1

Lamens, Suzan2

Jones, Emerson1

Liu, Claire1

Watson, Heather2

Fita Boluda, Angela2

Zhu, Lin0

Mandlik, Elizabeth0

Penickova, Kristina2

Hazelitt, Jordyn1

Dart, Harriet2

Bronzetti, Lucia0

Giovannini, Luisina0

Iatcenko, Polina2

Struplova, Julie0

Hontama, Mai2

Gjorcheska, Lina0

Avanesyan, Elina0

Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2

Kalieva, Elvina2

Mladenovic, Kristina1

Costoulas, Sofia2

Ruggeri, Jennifer0

Valdmannova, Vendula2

Carle, Maria0

Galfi, Dalma0

Sasnovich, Aliaksandra2

Day, Kayla0

Pareja, Julieta2

Masarova, Rebeka1

Shymanovich, Iryna2

Brengle, Madison2

Gasanova, Anastasia0

Aksu, Ayla0

Stefanini, Lucrezia2

Samson, Laura1

Zidansek, Tamara2

Burrage, Jodie0

Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar2

Vedder, Eva0

Andreescu, Bianca2

Dolehide, Caroline1

Podrez, Veronika2

Salkova, Dominika2

Urhobo, Akasha1

Knutson, Gabriela2

Lepchenko, Varvara0

Pigossi, Laura0

Papamichail, Despina2

Gorgodze, Ekaterine2

Kawa, Katarzyna1

Jimenez Kasintseva, Victoria0

Jorge, Francisca2

Ristic, Mia2

Akli, Ayana1

Broadus, Savannah0

Grant, Tyra Caterina2

Ortenzi, Jazmin0

Sakatsume, Himeno2

Yuan, Yue2

Guo, Hanyu0

Avdeeva, Julia2

Sebov, Katherine0

Swan, Katie2

Scott, Katrina0

Tan, Harmony0

Stoiana, Mary2

Zheng, Qinwen2

You, Xiaodi0

Burel, Clara2

Ma, Yexin0

Pridankina, Elena2

Falei, Aliona0

Marino, Rebecca2

Ferro, Fiona0

Sramkova, Rebecca0

Ibragimova, Alevtina2

Andreeva, Erika0

Bolkvadze, Mariam2

Koevermans, Anouk2

Monnet, Carole0

Klimovicova, Linda2

Pigato, Lisa0

Liutova, Kristina2

Prozorova, Tatiana1

Radivojevic, Lola2

Rinaldo Persson, Kajsa0

Kubka, Martyna2

Penickova, Annika1

Astakhova, Darya1

Bassols Ribera, Marina2

Qualification round 2

Fruhvirtova, Linda0

Branstine, Carson2

Montgomery, Robin2

Vandromme, Jeline0

Uchijima, Moyuka1

Havlickova, Lucie2

Hibino, Nao2

Siskova, Anna0

Jones, Francesca2

Barthel, Mona1

Hon, Priscilla0

Garland, Joanna2

Semenistaja, Darja2

Shubladze, Alexandra0

Ku, Yeon Woo1

Hunter, Storm2

Bandecchi, Susan2

Hruncakova, Viktoria0

Rus, Arantxa2

Lamens, Suzan0

Watson, Heather2

Fita Boluda, Angela1

Penickova, Kristina1

Dart, Harriet2

Bronzetti, Lucia1

Iatcenko, Polina2

Hontama, Mai1

Lazaro Garcia, Andrea2

Kalieva, Elvina2

Costoulas, Sofia1

Valdmannova, Vendula2

Sasnovich, Aliaksandra1

Pareja, Julieta2

Shymanovich, Iryna0

Brengle, Madison0

Stefanini, Lucrezia2

Zidansek, Tamara2

Maristany Zuleta de Reales, Guiomar0

Andreescu, Bianca2

Podrez, Veronika0

Salkova, Dominika0

Knutson, Gabriela2

Papamichail, Despina0

Gorgodze, Ekaterine2

Jorge, Francisca0

Ristic, Mia2

Grant, Tyra Caterina1

Sakatsume, Himeno2

Yuan, Yue2

Avdeeva, Julia0

Swan, Katie1

Stoiana, Mary2

Zheng, Qinwen2

Burel, Clara0

Pridankina, Elena2

Marino, Rebecca0

Ibragimova, Alevtina0

Bolkvadze, Mariam2

Koevermans, Anouk2

Klimovicova, Linda0

Liutova, Kristina2

Radivojevic, Lola1

Kubka, Martyna2

Bassols Ribera, Marina0

Qualification Final

Branstine, Carson1

Montgomery, Robin2

Havlickova, Lucie2

Hibino, Nao0

Jones, Francesca2

Garland, Joanna0

Semenistaja, Darja0

Hunter, Storm2

Bandecchi, Susan1

Rus, Arantxa2

Watson, Heather1

Dart, Harriet2

Iatcenko, Polina2

Lazaro Garcia, Andrea0

Kalieva, Elvina2

Valdmannova, Vendula1

Pareja, Julieta0

Stefanini, Lucrezia2

Zidansek, Tamara2

Andreescu, Bianca1

Knutson, Gabriela2

Gorgodze, Ekaterine0

Ristic, Mia0

Sakatsume, Himeno2

Yuan, Yue1

Stoiana, Mary2

Zheng, Qinwen2

Pridankina, Elena1

Bolkvadze, Mariam0

Koevermans, Anouk2

Liutova, Kristina2

Kubka, Martyna0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center

Start 03.09.2026 15:00 UTC

Market 1 27.1% @ 3.50 / 2 72.9% @ 1.30

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Mertens E 71%

💹 Market Mertens E 73%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Timofeeva M - Mertens E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Timofeeva M 28.0% 28.5%

Mertens E 72.0% 71.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 28.5% / 71.5% probabilities

Rating 1,601 / 1,768 Timofeeva M / Mertens E

RD 161 / 161 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,278-1,923 / 1,447-2,089 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%

1 3.50 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 0.5 3.60 market consensus · line only

Over 10.5 4.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	3.20 31.3%
—	—	2.95 33.9%
—	—	2.60 38.5%
—	—	2.25 44.4%
1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
—	—	3.50 28.6%
—	—	1.30 76.9%
—	—	1.35 74.1%
—	—	1.43 69.9%
—	—	1.58 63.3%
—	—	1.90 52.6%
—	—	2.40 41.7%
—	—	3.35 29.9%
—	—	1.25 80.0%
1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.95 51.3%
	5.40 18.5%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 18.5	—	—	1.43 69.9%
Over 19.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%
Over 20.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%
Over 21.5	1.99 50.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5	—	—	2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.60 38.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.75 36.4%
Over 25.5	—	—	3.05 32.8%
Under 18.5	—	—	2.60 38.5%
Under 19.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Under 20.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 21.5	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	2.70 37.0%
Under 2.5	1.43 69.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1

2026-07-02 · Mariya Timofeeva 1:2 Elize Mertens

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.3 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	3.5	1.3
Winline	3.5	1.3
Fonbet	3.5	1.3
Betcity	3.8	1.27

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Timofeeva M

W D W W W

2026-08-31 2026 US Open, New York, USA

Timofeeva M Zidansek T 0:2 Timofeeva M

2026-08-26 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Timofeeva M Timofeeva M 0:0 Li A

2026-08-25 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Timofeeva M Zhang S 0:2 Timofeeva M

2026-08-23 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Timofeeva M Timofeeva M 2:1 Rakhimova K

2026-08-22 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Timofeeva M Tararudee L 1:2 Timofeeva M

4 Wins

0 Losses

1.6 Sets won

0.4 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Mertens E

W W L W W

2026-09-01 2026 US Open, New York, USA

Quevedo K 0:2 Mertens E Mertens E

2026-08-29 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Bartunkova N 1:2 Mertens E Mertens E

2026-08-29 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Parry D 2:1 Mertens E Mertens E

2026-08-28 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Starodubtseva Y 0:2 Mertens E Mertens E

2026-08-26 2026 Monterrey, Mexico

Udvardy P 1:2 Mertens E Mertens E

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Timofeeva M - Mertens E

Timofeeva M

1 matches total

Mertens E

Timofeeva M: 0 (0%)

Mertens E: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Mertens, Elise 2:1 (2026-07-02) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 sets (2:1, 2026-07-02) most sets in a game

Match history

2026-07-02 US Open Women Singles 2026

Mertens, Elise 2:1 Timofeeva, Maria

Timofeeva M vs Mertens E — Tennis prediction

AI match prediction Timofeeva M - Mertens E September 3, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Unlock the full AI analysis

About the athletes

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying

Timofeeva M - Mertens E

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions