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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification International

28.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Milavsky D — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Milavsky D): model 51% · market 89% Δ −38 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Milavsky D57.3%

2 · Vandecasteele Q42.7%

Model estimate: win Milavsky D 57.3%, win Vandecasteele Q 42.7%. Model favourite — Milavsky D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Milavsky D (odds1.59) Score 2:1 confidence 57%

• Milavski D: forma PPVV (2)
• Vandekastele K: forma PV (1)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Milavski D: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Milavsky D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%

1 89.3%

2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 1.58 ↑ 1.60

Pobeditel P2 2.25 ↓ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification

ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification grass 28.07.2026 17:05 UTC Not started

28.07.2026 17:05 UTC Not started

Milavsky D

Vandecasteele Q

-:-

Odds

P1 1.60 58.0% BetBoom

P2 2.21 42.0% BetBoom

Coverage: grass

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

grass Coverage grass

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Milavski D 1 2

Vandekastele K 0 1

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Coverage grass

Form 5 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Milavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Milavsky D 58.0% 57.3% market and model agree

Vandecasteele Q 42.0% 42.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 57.3% / 42.7% probabilities

Rating 1,468 / 1,522 Milavsky D / Vandecasteele Q

RD 202 / 256 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,064-1,872 / 1,011-2,034 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 42.7%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 57.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 6.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.80 55.6%
	1.82 55.0%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.75 57.1%
	3.00 33.3%
	6.60 15.2%
	2.75 36.4%
	2.35 42.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.63 61.4%
	2.65 37.7%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.32 75.8%
	1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 17.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 18.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 19.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 20.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5	1.27 78.7%
Over 23.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 24.5	6.10 16.4%
Over 25.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 26.5	3.10 32.3%
Under 17.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 19.5	1.72 58.1%
Under 20.5	1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5	1.62 61.7%
Under 22.5	3.25 30.8%
Under 23.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 24.5	1.08 92.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.02 98.0%	1.59 62.9%
	8.50 11.8%	2.21 45.3%

Match center

Milavsky D

L L W W

16.07 21:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Granbi

Milavsky D 0:2 Draksl L

10.07 20:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Milavsky D 0:2 Galarno A

08.07 21:16 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Milavsky D 2:0 Utida K

07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Milavsky D 2:1 Vandekastele K

2 Wins

2 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.3 Sets lost

50% Win percentage

Vandecasteele Q

L W

07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Vandecasteele Q 1:2 Milavski D

07.07 17:35 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Vandecasteele Q 2:1 Trotter Dzh

1 Wins

1 Losses

1.5 Sets won

1.5 Sets lost

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMilavsky D - Vandecasteele Q

Milavsky D

1 matches total

Vandecasteele Q

Milavsky D: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Vandecasteele Q: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Milavski D 2:1 (07.07 22:37 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 07.07 22:37 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 22:37 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport

Milavski D

2:1

Vandekastele K