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World Tennis. Men. China
World Tennis. Men. China
04.08.2026 03:00 UTC

Mochizuki Y - Choe Jaesung

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Mochizuki Y meet Choe Jaesung on August 4, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. China.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mochizuki Y — 63%

1 · Mochizuki Y ✓ Pick63.4%
market79%
2 · Choe Jaesung36.6%
market21%

Model estimate: win Mochizuki Y 63.4%, win Choe Jaesung 36.6%. Model favourite — Mochizuki Y.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mochizuki Y (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 63%
  • • 🇰🇷 (tennis)
  • • Motizuki 🇯🇵: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Choe J
  • • 🇰🇷: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Motizuki 🇯🇵: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mochizuki Y - Choe Jaesung August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mochizuki Y. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 7.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.1% 2 books · best price +10.3%
1 ✓ Pick 79.1%
2 20.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Mochizuki Y · sets 1:0 · games 6-4 0-0 · game 00:00

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

87% 13%
Mochizuki Y (1) Choe Jaesung (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

Tennis World Tennis. Men. China
World Tennis. Men. China hard 04.08.2026 03:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 03:00 UTC Not started
M
Mochizuki Y
C
Choe Jaesung
-:-
Odds
P1 1.28 71.2% BetBoom
P2 3.16 28.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 87.1% @ 1.04 / 2 12.9% @ 7.00
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Mochizuki Y - Choe Jaesung

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mochizuki Y 71.2% 63.4% market and model agree
Choe Jaesung 28.8% 36.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.4% / 36.6% probabilities
Rating 1,582 / 1,151 Mochizuki Y / Choe Jaesung
RD 155 / 270 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,271-1,893 / 612-1,690 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.00 Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 63.4%
Total
Over 19.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.65 60.6% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
2.08 48.1% —
— 1.81 55.3%
2.10 47.6% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.95 51.3% —
1.67 59.9% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% —
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0% —
Under 19.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.76 56.8%
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% —
Under 22.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 23.5 1.72 58.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2% 1.28 78.1%
7.00 14.3% 3.16 31.7%
Match center
Mochizuki Y
L W L L W
22.07 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Mochizuki Y 1:2 Budzig M. 🇦🇺
22.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Mochizuki Y 2:0 Camus C. 🇫🇷
14.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Mochizuki Y 0:2 Fergyuson Ch. 🇦🇺
10.07 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 4 (Japan), hard
Mochizuki Y 0:2 Yasika O. 🇦🇺
09.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 4 (Japan), hard
Mochizuki Y 2:0 Tanuma R. 🇯🇵Tanuma R. 🇯🇵
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Choe Jaesung
L L
10.06 01:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Choe Jaesung 0:2 Charlton Dzh. 🇦🇺Charlton Dzh. 🇦🇺
26.05 01:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gimcheon 2 (South Korea), hard
Choe Jaesung 0:2 Oh Chan-Yeong 🇰🇷
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMochizuki Y - Choe Jaesung

Mochizuki Y
0 matches total
Choe Jaesung
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history