•Model backs Takakhashi Yusuke: probability 65% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Takahashi Yusuke - Chang Alexander July 30, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Takahashi Yusuke. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick65.1%
234.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P11.42→ 1.42
Pobeditel P22.65→ 2.65
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
TennisWorld Tennis. Men. Indonesia
World Tennis. Men. Indonesia30.07.2026 02:00 UTCNot started
30.07.2026 02:00 UTCNot started
Takahashi Yusuke
Chang Alexander
-:-
Odds
P11.42
66.0% BetBoom
P22.75
34.1% BetBoom
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Match center
Start30.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form3 matches
Match center
Takahashi Yusuke - Chang Alexander
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/3
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Takahashi Yusuke66.1%65.2%market and model agree
Chang Alexander33.9%34.8%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P265.2% / 34.8%
probabilities
Rating1,677 / 1,500
Takahashi Yusuke / Chang Alexander
RD215 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,248-2,106 / 800-2,200
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.65
Fonbet · no value · model 34.8%
11.42
Fonbet · no value · model 65.2%
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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