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World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico International
29.07.2026 17:48 UTC
29.07.2026 17:48 UTC
Not started

World Tennis. Men. Mexico

Thomson Matthew - Lage Castelan L A

International Tennis
Thomson Matthew
Thomson Matthew
- : -
Not started
Lage Castelan L A
Lage Castelan L A

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Thomson Matthew - Lage Castelan L A July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Thomson Matthew. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 86.1%
2 13.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Lage Castelan L A · sets 1:1 · games 6-4 6-7 6-5 · game 40:30 · BP!

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

86% 14%
Thomson Matthew (1) Lage Castelan L A (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 17:48 UTC
Match center

Thomson Matthew - Lage Castelan L A

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 23.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 29.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.20 19.2%
1.25 80.0%
1.40 71.4%
2.20 45.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.11 90.1%
3.45 29.0%
2.80 35.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 23.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 29.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 30.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 31.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 32.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 33.5 4.90 20.4%
Over 35.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 23.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 29.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 30.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 31.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 32.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 33.5 1.13 88.5%
Under 35.5 1.40 71.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
6.50 15.4%