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World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico International
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Mbithi M - Van Noord N P

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mbithi M — 86%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mbithi M): model 59% · market 89% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mbithi M ✓ Pick85.8%
market89%
2 · Van Noord N P14.2%
market11%

Model estimate: win Mbithi M 85.8%, win Van Noord N P 14.2%. Model favourite — Mbithi M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mbithi M - Van Noord N P July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mbithi M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 ✓ Pick 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.01 ↑ 1.02
Pobeditel P2 9.00 ↓ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC Not started
Mbithi M
Mbithi M
L W
Van Noord N P
Van Noord N P
W L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.05 89.7% BetBoom
P2 9.10 10.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Mbithi M - Van Noord N P

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mbithi M 88.7% 85.8% market and model agree
Van Noord N P 11.3% 14.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 85.8% / 14.2% probabilities
Rating 1,819 / 1,611 Mbithi M / Van Noord N P
RD 257 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,306-2,332 / 1,197-2,025 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 14.2%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 85.8%
Total
Over 17.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 17.5 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2%
Under 17.5 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1%
9.10 11.0% 7.70 13.0% 8.50 11.8% 7.70 13.0%
Match center
Mbithi M
L W
25.07 17:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Mbithi M 1:2 Tudorika A-N
24.07 17:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Mbithi M 2:0 Agilero Gerrero E
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Van Noord N P
W L
29.07 18:52 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Van Noord N P 2:0 Galarraga M-A
21.07 18:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Van Noord N P 1:2 Agilero Gerrero E
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMbithi M - Van Noord N P

Mbithi M
0 matches total
Van Noord N P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history