Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Lopez Montagud C — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · Lopez Montagud C): model 48% · market 60% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hernandez Carles 41.4%, win Lopez Montagud C 58.6%. Model favourite — Lopez Montagud C.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Hernandez Carles
Lopez Montagud C
Full head-to-head historyHernandez Carles - Lopez Montagud C
The Hernandez Carles - Lopez Montagud C breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.