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World Tennis. Men. Indonesia
World Tennis. Men. Indonesia International
30.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Takakhashi Yusuke - Chang Alexander

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Indonesia
World Tennis. Men. Indonesia 30.07.2026 02:00 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 02:00 UTC Finished
Takakhashi Yusuke
Takakhashi Yusuke
Chang Alexander
Chang Alexander
-:-
Odds
P1 1.42 67.9% BetBoom
P2 3.00 32.1% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Takakhashi Yusuke — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Takakhashi Yusuke): model 57% · market 71% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Takakhashi Yusuke ✓ Pick65.2%
market71%
2 · Chang Alexander34.8%
market29%

Model estimate: win Takakhashi Yusuke 65.2%, win Chang Alexander 34.8%. Model favourite — Takakhashi Yusuke.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Takakhashi Yusuke (odds1.41) Score 2:1 confidence 65%
  • • Takakhashi Yusuke: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Takakhashi Yusuke: probability 65% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Takakhashi Yusuke - Chang Alexander July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Takakhashi Yusuke. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 ✓ Pick 71.4%
2 28.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.42 → 1.42
Pobeditel P2 2.65 → 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Takakhashi Yusuke - Chang Alexander

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Takakhashi Yusuke 66.1% 65.2% market and model agree
Chang Alexander 33.9% 34.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 65.2% / 34.8% probabilities
Rating 1,677 / 1,500 Takakhashi Yusuke / Chang Alexander
RD 215 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,248-2,106 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 34.8%
1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 65.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.16 86.2%
— 1.28 78.1%
— 2.15 46.5%
— 1.93 51.8%
1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%
— 2.20 45.5%
— 2.60 38.5%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 4.40 22.7%
2.00 50.0% —
— 3.20 31.3%
— 1.62 61.7%
— 1.77 56.5%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Over 20.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 26.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 27.5 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 28.5 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 30.5 — 1.11 90.1%
Under 19.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Under 20.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.76 56.8% 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Under 23.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Under 24.5 — 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.28 78.1%
2.73 36.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Takakhashi Yusuke
W L W L W
07.07 06:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Japan
Takakhashi Yusuke 2:1 Fukuda S
28.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Centurion, South Africa Men Singles
Takakhashi Yusuke 1:2 Edward Winter
26.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Centurion, South Africa Men Singles
Takakhashi Yusuke 2:0 Mert Alkaya
20.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Bengaluru 3, India Men Singles
Takakhashi Yusuke 0:2 Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
19.05 05:50 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Bengaluru 3, India Men Singles
Takakhashi Yusuke 2:0 Ryuki Matsuda
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Chang Alexander
W L W
07.07 06:30 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Japan
Chang Alexander 2:1 Fukuda S
28.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Centurion, South Africa Men Singles
Chang Alexander 1:2 Edward Winter
26.05 08:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger Centurion, South Africa Men Singles
Chang Alexander 2:0 Mert Alkaya
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage