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World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico International
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Peck J - Thomson Matthew

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Thomson Matthew — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · Thomson Matthew): model 56% · market 57% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Peck J43.0%
2 · Thomson Matthew ✓ Pick57.0%

Model estimate: win Peck J 43.0%, win Thomson Matthew 57.0%. Model favourite — Thomson Matthew.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Thomson Matthew (odds1.61) Score 1:2 confidence 57%
  • • Tomson Mettyu: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Tomson Mettyu: probability 57% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Peck J - Thomson Matthew July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Thomson Matthew. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.13 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 43.4%
2 ✓ Pick 56.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.15 ↓ 2.13
Pobeditel P2 1.62 ↑ 1.63

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Mexico
World Tennis. Men. Mexico 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 17:00 UTC Not started
Peck J
Peck J
W
Thomson Matthew
Thomson Matthew
W W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.22 42.3% BetBoom
P2 1.63 57.7% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Peck J - Thomson Matthew

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Peck J 42.9% 43.0%
Thomson Matthew 57.1% 57.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 43.0% / 57.0% probabilities
Rating 1,618 / 1,874 Peck J / Thomson Matthew
RD 283 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,052-2,184 / 1,526-2,222 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 Fonbet · no value · model 57.0%
1 2.13 Fonbet · no value · model 43.0%
Total
Over 21.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.83 54.6% 1.74 57.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.73 57.8%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.13 47.0% 2.12 47.2%
1.62 61.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Peck J
W
29.07 20:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Peck J 2:0 Kovato M
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Thomson Matthew
W W W W W
29.07 17:48 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Lakhe-Kastelan L-A
26.07 16:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Tudorika A-N
25.07 17:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:0 Braun P
23.07 15:30 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Balsekar A
22.07 17:00 UTC World Tennis. Men. Mexico
Thomson Matthew 2:1 Gurenko V
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPeck J - Thomson Matthew

Peck J
0 matches total
Thomson Matthew
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history