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World Tennis. Women. Mexico
World Tennis. Women. Mexico International
28.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

World Tennis. Women. Mexico

Alonso C - Marron Baruqui M

International Tennis
Alonso C
Alonso C
- : -
Not started
Marron Baruqui M
Marron Baruqui M

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alonso C - Marron Baruqui M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alonso C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 70.1%
2 29.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

LIVE

Now in play

serve: Marron Baruqui M · sets 1:1 · games 6-2 3-6 1-1 · game A:40 · BP!

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

70% 30%
Alonso C (1) Marron Baruqui M (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Alonso C - Marron Baruqui M

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.73 57.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.05 48.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.65 60.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.73 57.8%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 15.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 16.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 17.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 18.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 20.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 21.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 22.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 25.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 26.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 15.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 16.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 17.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 18.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 19.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 20.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
3.05 32.8%