Bizjak Z./Kovacic N. - Ferro G./Troiano C.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Ferro G./Troiano C. — 60%
Pure model vs market (2 · Ferro G./Troiano C.): model 48% · market 64% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Bizjak Z./Kovacic N. 39.9%, win Ferro G./Troiano C. 60.1%. Model favourite — Ferro G./Troiano C..
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Bizjak Z./Kovacic N
- • — Ferro G./Troiano C
- • (tennis)
- • Model backs Bizjak Z./Kovacic N.: probability 52% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.42)
- • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bizjak Z./Kovacic N. - Ferro G./Troiano C. July 28, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / 2 1.45
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Now in play
serve: Ferro G./Troiano C. · sets 0:1 · games 3-6 5-3 · game 30:15
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
About the athletes
Bizjak Z./Kovacic N. - Ferro G./Troiano C.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.30 43.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 18.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 19.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 20.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 22.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 30.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 31.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 32.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 33.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 34.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 18.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Under 19.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Under 20.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 22.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 30.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 31.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 32.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.42 41.3% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
Full head-to-head historyBizjak Z./Kovacic N. - Ferro G./Troiano C.
Match history
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The Bizjak Z./Kovacic N. - Ferro G./Troiano C. breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form