Ebeling Koning L - Maquet M
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ebeling Koning L — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ebeling Koning L): model 59% · market 27% Δ +32 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Ebeling Koning L 57.2%, win Maquet M 42.8%. Model favourite — Ebeling Koning L.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Ebeling-Koning L: forma VVV (3-0)
- • Model backs Ebeling-Koning L: probability 58% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ebeling Koning L - Maquet M July 30, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / 2 1.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Now in play
serve: Maquet M · sets 0:1 · games 2-6 1-1 · game 15:15
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 60% | 40% | 2:0 | Under 22.5 | Winner matches: Ebeling-Koning L |
| Claude | 61% | 39% | 2:1 | Over 20.5 | Over 20.5 |
| Qwen | 78% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 60% | 40% | ... | ... | ... |
| GLM 5.2 | 60% | 40% | 2:1 | Over 22.5 |
About the athletes
Ebeling Koning L - Maquet M
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | — | |
| — | 1.76 56.8% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.70 58.8% | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | — | 2.10 47.6% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 1.83 54.6% | |
| — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 18.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 20.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 21.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 17.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 18.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 19.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 20.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 21.5 | — | — | 1.78 56.2% |
| Under 22.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 61.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 3.30 30.3% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
Ebeling Koning L
Maquet M
Full head-to-head historyEbeling Koning L - Maquet M
Match history
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The Ebeling Koning L - Maquet M breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form