Chang H - Mandlik E
Chang H take on Mandlik E on August 5, 2026 in the World Tennis. Women. Landisvill, International.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Mandlik E — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Mandlik E): model 39% · market 64% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Chang H 38.5%, win Mandlik E 61.5%. Model favourite — Mandlik E.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Chang Kh: forma VPVVV (4-1)
- • Mandlik E: forma PVVV (3-1)
- • Model backs Mandlik E: probability 60% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chang H - Mandlik E August 5, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.38
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Now in play
serve: Mandlik E · sets 0:1 · games 4-6 0-0 · game 15:00
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 35% | 65% | 0:2 | Over 21.5 | |
| Claude | 37% | 63% | 0:2 | Over 20.5 |
About the athletes
Serve and return stats
| Chang H | Mandlik E | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 1.76 | 7.00 |
| Double faults per match | 4.29 | 7 |
| Breaks per match | 2.88 | 6 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Hard
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 46.2% 6 / 13 Matches | 70.0% 21 / 30 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches | 59.5% 25 / 42 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 1.57 | 7.00 |
| Most Aces in a match | 57 % | 100 % |
Clay
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 50.0% 7 / 14 Matches | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 43.8% 7 / 16 Matches | 45.5% 5 / 11 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 1.33 | N/A |
| Most Aces in a match | 0 % | N/A |
Grass
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 2.14 | N/A |
| Most Aces in a match | 29 % | N/A |
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 1 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 2 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Wins this year | 52.6% 20 / 38 Matches | 68.3% 28 / 41 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 52.5% 32 / 61 Matches | 58.3% 35 / 60 Matches |
| Current rank | 178 | 295 |
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $741,430 USD | $333,832 USD |
| Rating | 178 | 295 |
| Age | 25 | 28 |
| Height | 1.70m | — |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
Win percentage (match / set)
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 53 % | 68 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 50 % | 68 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 24 % | 56 % |
| Wins From Behind | 22 % | 19 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 74 % | 83 % |
| Set 1 Win | 58 % | 71 % |
| Set 2 Win | 39 % | 69 % |
| Set 3 Win | 58 % | 45 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Match stats (live, tennisstats)
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Last 10 balls | 1 | 0 |
Source:tennisstats.com
Chang H - Mandlik E
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko38.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.45).
Best value: no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.77 56.5% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| — | — | 1.82 55.0% | — | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.94 51.6% | — | 1.87 53.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 21.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 20.5 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 21.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 22.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.32 | 9.05 | 9.19 |
| Over 6.5 | 97 % | 97 % | 97 % |
| Over 7.5 | 88 % | 79 % | 84 % |
| Over 8.5 | 71 % | 68 % | 70 % |
| Over 9.5 | 41 % | 41 % | 41 % |
| Over 10.5 | 15 % | 12 % | 14 % |
| Over 11.5 | 15 % | 12 % | 14 % |
Aces
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 1.76 | 7.00 | 8.76 |
| Most Aces in a match | 35 % | 100 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 82 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 59 % | 100 % | 94 % |
| 3+ | 24 % | 100 % | 86 % |
| 4+ | 12 % | 100 % | 80 % |
| 5+ | 0 % | 100 % | 74 % |
Breaks
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 2.88 | 6 | 8.88 |
| Over 0.5 | 76 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 12 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 12 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 3.5 | 6 % | 100 % | 88 % |
| Over 4.5 | 6 % | 100 % | 88 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 100 % | 86 % |
Tie-breaks
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Over 0.5 | 12 % | 21 % | 16 % |
| Over 1.5 | 6 % | 0 % | 3 % |
| Under 0.5 | 88 % | 79 % | 16 % |
| Under 1.5 | 94 % | 100 % | 3 % |
Double faults
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 4.29 | 7 | 11.29 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 82 % | 100 % | 97 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 71 % | 100 % | 94 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 35 % | 100 % | 94 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 29 % | 100 % | 88 % |
Net points
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Hanna Chang | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 5.17 | N/A | N/A |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 67 % | N/A | N/A |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 33 % | N/A | N/A |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 0 % | N/A | N/A |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 0 % | N/A | N/A |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 0 % | N/A | N/A |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 0 % | N/A | N/A |
Source:tennisstats.com
Chang H
Mandlik E
Stefanini L
Arseno A
Full head-to-head historyChang H - Mandlik E
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Chang H - Mandlik E breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form