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WTA 125K. Vankuver
WTA 125K. Vankuver International
30.07.2026 18:30 UTC

Hontama M - Sakatsume H

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hontama M — 57%

1 · Hontama M ✓ Pick57.1%
2 · Sakatsume H42.9%

Model estimate: win Hontama M 57.1%, win Sakatsume H 42.9%. Model favourite — Hontama M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hontama M (odds1.65) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • Khontama M: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Sakatsume Kh: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Khontama M: probability 57% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hontama M - Sakatsume H July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hontama M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 ✓ Pick 53.3%
2 46.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.65 → 1.65
Pobeditel P2 2.10 → 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis WTA 125K. Vankuver
WTA 125K. Vankuver 30.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
Hontama M
Hontama M
W W
Sakatsume H
Sakatsume H
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.65 56.0% BetBoom
P2 2.10 44.0% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Hontama M - Sakatsume H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hontama M 56.0% 57.1% market and model agree
Sakatsume H 44.0% 42.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.1% / 42.9% probabilities
Rating 1,731 / 1,577 Hontama M / Sakatsume H
RD 182 / 286 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,366-2,095 / 1,006-2,148 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 42.9%
1 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 57.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.88 53.2%
2.02 49.5%
2.02 49.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 19.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 23.5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
Match center
Hontama M
W W
29.07 21:08 UTC WTA 125K. Vankuver
Hontama M 2:0 Lu Tszya-Tszin
28.07 20:40 UTC WTA 125K. Vankuver
Hontama M 2:1 Dey K
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Sakatsume H
W
29.07 03:04 UTC WTA 125K. Vankuver
Sakatsume H 2:1 Von Kh I K
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHontama M - Sakatsume H

Hontama M
0 matches total
Sakatsume H
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history